Estimating the proportion of false null hypotheses among a large number of independently tested hypotheses

We consider the problem of estimating the number of false null hypotheses among a very large number of independently tested hypotheses, focusing on the situation in which the proportion of false null hypotheses is very small. We propose a family of methods for establishing lower $100(1-\alpha)%$ con...

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Main Authors: Meinshausen, N, Rice, J
Format: Journal article
Published: 2006
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author Meinshausen, N
Rice, J
author_facet Meinshausen, N
Rice, J
author_sort Meinshausen, N
collection OXFORD
description We consider the problem of estimating the number of false null hypotheses among a very large number of independently tested hypotheses, focusing on the situation in which the proportion of false null hypotheses is very small. We propose a family of methods for establishing lower $100(1-\alpha)%$ confidence bounds for this proportion, based on the empirical distribution of the $p$-values of the tests. Methods in this family are then compared in terms of ability to consistently estimate the proportion by letting $\alpha \to 0$ as the number of hypothesis tests increases and the proportion decreases. This work is motivated by a signal detection problem that occurs in astronomy.
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spelling oxford-uuid:757526f3-44dd-4f6a-9ea9-d2a715efffaf2022-03-26T20:09:27ZEstimating the proportion of false null hypotheses among a large number of independently tested hypothesesJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:757526f3-44dd-4f6a-9ea9-d2a715efffafSymplectic Elements at Oxford2006Meinshausen, NRice, JWe consider the problem of estimating the number of false null hypotheses among a very large number of independently tested hypotheses, focusing on the situation in which the proportion of false null hypotheses is very small. We propose a family of methods for establishing lower $100(1-\alpha)%$ confidence bounds for this proportion, based on the empirical distribution of the $p$-values of the tests. Methods in this family are then compared in terms of ability to consistently estimate the proportion by letting $\alpha \to 0$ as the number of hypothesis tests increases and the proportion decreases. This work is motivated by a signal detection problem that occurs in astronomy.
spellingShingle Meinshausen, N
Rice, J
Estimating the proportion of false null hypotheses among a large number of independently tested hypotheses
title Estimating the proportion of false null hypotheses among a large number of independently tested hypotheses
title_full Estimating the proportion of false null hypotheses among a large number of independently tested hypotheses
title_fullStr Estimating the proportion of false null hypotheses among a large number of independently tested hypotheses
title_full_unstemmed Estimating the proportion of false null hypotheses among a large number of independently tested hypotheses
title_short Estimating the proportion of false null hypotheses among a large number of independently tested hypotheses
title_sort estimating the proportion of false null hypotheses among a large number of independently tested hypotheses
work_keys_str_mv AT meinshausenn estimatingtheproportionoffalsenullhypothesesamongalargenumberofindependentlytestedhypotheses
AT ricej estimatingtheproportionoffalsenullhypothesesamongalargenumberofindependentlytestedhypotheses