Weight loss as a predictor of cancer in primary care: a systematic review and meta-analysis

<h4>Background</h4> <p>Weight loss is a non-specific cancer symptom for which there are no clinical guidelines about investigation in primary care.</p> <h4>Aim</h4> <p>To summarise the available evidence on weight loss as a clinical feature of cancer in pat...

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Main Authors: Nicholson, B, Hamilton, W, O'Sullivan, J, Aveyard, P, Hobbs, F
Format: Journal article
Published: Royal College of General Practitioners 2018
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author Nicholson, B
Hamilton, W
O'Sullivan, J
Aveyard, P
Hobbs, F
author_facet Nicholson, B
Hamilton, W
O'Sullivan, J
Aveyard, P
Hobbs, F
author_sort Nicholson, B
collection OXFORD
description <h4>Background</h4> <p>Weight loss is a non-specific cancer symptom for which there are no clinical guidelines about investigation in primary care.</p> <h4>Aim</h4> <p>To summarise the available evidence on weight loss as a clinical feature of cancer in patients presenting to primary care.</p> <h4>Design</h4> <p>A diagnostic test accuracy review and meta-analysis.</p> <h4>Methods</h4> <p>Studies reporting 2 × 2 diagnostic accuracy data for weight loss (index test) in adults presenting to primary care and a subsequent diagnosis of cancer (reference standard) were included. QUADAS-2 was used to assess study quality. Sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratios, and positive predictive values were calculated, and a bivariate meta-analysis performed.</p> <h4>Results</h4> <p> A total of 25 studies were included, with 23 (92%) using primary care records. Of these, 20 (80%) defined weight loss as a physician’s coding of the symptom; the remainder collected data directly. One defined unexplained weight loss using objective measurements. Positive associations between weight loss and cancer were found for 10 cancer sites: prostate, colorectal, lung, gastro-oesophageal, pancreatic, non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma, ovarian, myeloma, renal tract, and biliary tree. Sensitivity ranged from 2% to 47%, and specificity from 92% to 99%, across cancer sites. The positive predictive value for cancer in male and female patients with weight loss for all age groups ≥60 years exceeded the 3% risk threshold that current UK guidance proposes for further investigation.</p> <h4>Conclusion</h4> <p>A primary care clinician’s decision to code for weight loss is highly predictive of cancer. For such patients, urgent referral pathways are justified to investigate for cancer across multiple sites.</p>
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spelling oxford-uuid:7580da56-d4f7-42b6-b513-1536c066ce062022-03-26T20:09:46ZWeight loss as a predictor of cancer in primary care: a systematic review and meta-analysisJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:7580da56-d4f7-42b6-b513-1536c066ce06Symplectic Elements at OxfordRoyal College of General Practitioners2018Nicholson, BHamilton, WO'Sullivan, JAveyard, PHobbs, F <h4>Background</h4> <p>Weight loss is a non-specific cancer symptom for which there are no clinical guidelines about investigation in primary care.</p> <h4>Aim</h4> <p>To summarise the available evidence on weight loss as a clinical feature of cancer in patients presenting to primary care.</p> <h4>Design</h4> <p>A diagnostic test accuracy review and meta-analysis.</p> <h4>Methods</h4> <p>Studies reporting 2 × 2 diagnostic accuracy data for weight loss (index test) in adults presenting to primary care and a subsequent diagnosis of cancer (reference standard) were included. QUADAS-2 was used to assess study quality. Sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratios, and positive predictive values were calculated, and a bivariate meta-analysis performed.</p> <h4>Results</h4> <p> A total of 25 studies were included, with 23 (92%) using primary care records. Of these, 20 (80%) defined weight loss as a physician’s coding of the symptom; the remainder collected data directly. One defined unexplained weight loss using objective measurements. Positive associations between weight loss and cancer were found for 10 cancer sites: prostate, colorectal, lung, gastro-oesophageal, pancreatic, non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma, ovarian, myeloma, renal tract, and biliary tree. Sensitivity ranged from 2% to 47%, and specificity from 92% to 99%, across cancer sites. The positive predictive value for cancer in male and female patients with weight loss for all age groups ≥60 years exceeded the 3% risk threshold that current UK guidance proposes for further investigation.</p> <h4>Conclusion</h4> <p>A primary care clinician’s decision to code for weight loss is highly predictive of cancer. For such patients, urgent referral pathways are justified to investigate for cancer across multiple sites.</p>
spellingShingle Nicholson, B
Hamilton, W
O'Sullivan, J
Aveyard, P
Hobbs, F
Weight loss as a predictor of cancer in primary care: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title Weight loss as a predictor of cancer in primary care: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_full Weight loss as a predictor of cancer in primary care: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_fullStr Weight loss as a predictor of cancer in primary care: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_full_unstemmed Weight loss as a predictor of cancer in primary care: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_short Weight loss as a predictor of cancer in primary care: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_sort weight loss as a predictor of cancer in primary care a systematic review and meta analysis
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AT osullivanj weightlossasapredictorofcancerinprimarycareasystematicreviewandmetaanalysis
AT aveyardp weightlossasapredictorofcancerinprimarycareasystematicreviewandmetaanalysis
AT hobbsf weightlossasapredictorofcancerinprimarycareasystematicreviewandmetaanalysis