Tropical lows in southern Africa: Tracks, rainfall contributions and the role of ENSO

Southern African tropical lows are synoptic‐scale cyclonic vortices that propagate westward across southern Africa in the Austral summer. They strongly influence local rainfall and aggregate in the climatological December, January, and February mean to form the Angola Low. In this study, tropical lo...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Howard, E, Washington, R, Hodges, K
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: American Geophysical Union 2019
_version_ 1826279648385826816
author Howard, E
Washington, R
Hodges, K
author_facet Howard, E
Washington, R
Hodges, K
author_sort Howard, E
collection OXFORD
description Southern African tropical lows are synoptic‐scale cyclonic vortices that propagate westward across southern Africa in the Austral summer. They strongly influence local rainfall and aggregate in the climatological December, January, and February mean to form the Angola Low. In this study, tropical lows are identified and tracked using an objective feature tracking method. The statistics of tropical low tracks over southern Africa are presented and compared across three reanalysis products. Findings are compared to the literature of tropical low‐pressure areas elsewhere in the world, where it is found that most tracking statistics compare well but that the tendency of tropical lows to become semistationary over Angola is unique to southern Africa. The hypothesis that tropical lows in Angola have a causal relationship with Tropical Temperate Troughs is tested, and a correlation between occurrence frequencies is found at interannual but not daily time scales. Precipitation is attributed to the tropical lows, and it is found that tropical lows are associated with 31% of rainfall across tropical southern Africa, based on gridded precipitation products. The interannual variability of the number of tropical lows that form per year (σ=6 events/year) is linked to El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the tropical easterly jet. The mean latitude of tropical lows is shifted northward during El Niño and southward during La Niña. Much of the interannual precipitation variability maximum in Angola is attributed to rainfall associated with tropical lows. These results provide insights into the southern African response to ENSO and into the mechanisms of rainfall in the southern African tropical edge.
first_indexed 2024-03-07T00:01:54Z
format Journal article
id oxford-uuid:763eb38a-4b84-4c2d-aaef-8a9e1f96ea00
institution University of Oxford
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-07T00:01:54Z
publishDate 2019
publisher American Geophysical Union
record_format dspace
spelling oxford-uuid:763eb38a-4b84-4c2d-aaef-8a9e1f96ea002022-03-26T20:14:27ZTropical lows in southern Africa: Tracks, rainfall contributions and the role of ENSOJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:763eb38a-4b84-4c2d-aaef-8a9e1f96ea00EnglishSymplectic Elements at OxfordAmerican Geophysical Union2019Howard, EWashington, RHodges, KSouthern African tropical lows are synoptic‐scale cyclonic vortices that propagate westward across southern Africa in the Austral summer. They strongly influence local rainfall and aggregate in the climatological December, January, and February mean to form the Angola Low. In this study, tropical lows are identified and tracked using an objective feature tracking method. The statistics of tropical low tracks over southern Africa are presented and compared across three reanalysis products. Findings are compared to the literature of tropical low‐pressure areas elsewhere in the world, where it is found that most tracking statistics compare well but that the tendency of tropical lows to become semistationary over Angola is unique to southern Africa. The hypothesis that tropical lows in Angola have a causal relationship with Tropical Temperate Troughs is tested, and a correlation between occurrence frequencies is found at interannual but not daily time scales. Precipitation is attributed to the tropical lows, and it is found that tropical lows are associated with 31% of rainfall across tropical southern Africa, based on gridded precipitation products. The interannual variability of the number of tropical lows that form per year (σ=6 events/year) is linked to El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the tropical easterly jet. The mean latitude of tropical lows is shifted northward during El Niño and southward during La Niña. Much of the interannual precipitation variability maximum in Angola is attributed to rainfall associated with tropical lows. These results provide insights into the southern African response to ENSO and into the mechanisms of rainfall in the southern African tropical edge.
spellingShingle Howard, E
Washington, R
Hodges, K
Tropical lows in southern Africa: Tracks, rainfall contributions and the role of ENSO
title Tropical lows in southern Africa: Tracks, rainfall contributions and the role of ENSO
title_full Tropical lows in southern Africa: Tracks, rainfall contributions and the role of ENSO
title_fullStr Tropical lows in southern Africa: Tracks, rainfall contributions and the role of ENSO
title_full_unstemmed Tropical lows in southern Africa: Tracks, rainfall contributions and the role of ENSO
title_short Tropical lows in southern Africa: Tracks, rainfall contributions and the role of ENSO
title_sort tropical lows in southern africa tracks rainfall contributions and the role of enso
work_keys_str_mv AT howarde tropicallowsinsouthernafricatracksrainfallcontributionsandtheroleofenso
AT washingtonr tropicallowsinsouthernafricatracksrainfallcontributionsandtheroleofenso
AT hodgesk tropicallowsinsouthernafricatracksrainfallcontributionsandtheroleofenso