Housing, Credit and the Economy.

The US housing downturn and credit crunch affect economic activity through the decline in residential construction and through the negative impact on consumption of lower house prices and reduced credit availability. These issues were intensively discussed at the Federal Reserve's recent Jackso...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Muellbauer, J
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: 2007
Description
Summary:The US housing downturn and credit crunch affect economic activity through the decline in residential construction and through the negative impact on consumption of lower house prices and reduced credit availability. These issues were intensively discussed at the Federal Reserve's recent Jackson Hole Symposium. Drawing on these discussions, this paper suggests a US recession is not inevitable, even with the large housing collateral effects on consumption suggested by recent estimates. The paper also discusses prospects for other economies from widespread housing downturns, and some wider policy issues raised by house price fluctuations.