Belief revision from probability

In previous work ("Knowledge from Probability", TARK 2021) we develop a question-relative, probabilistic account of belief. On this account, what someone believes relative to a given question is (i) closed under entailment, (ii) sufficiently probable given their evidence, and (iii) sensiti...

ver descrição completa

Detalhes bibliográficos
Principais autores: Salow, BJ, Goodman, J
Formato: Conference item
Idioma:English
Publicado em: Electronic Proceedings in Theoretical Computer Science 2023
_version_ 1826311423987286016
author Salow, BJ
Goodman, J
author_facet Salow, BJ
Goodman, J
author_sort Salow, BJ
collection OXFORD
description In previous work ("Knowledge from Probability", TARK 2021) we develop a question-relative, probabilistic account of belief. On this account, what someone believes relative to a given question is (i) closed under entailment, (ii) sufficiently probable given their evidence, and (iii) sensitive to the relative probabilities of the answers to the question. Here we explore the implications of this account for the dynamics of belief. We show that the principles it validates are much weaker than those of orthodox theories of belief revision like AGM, but still stronger than those valid according to the popular Lockean theory of belief, which equates belief with high subjective probability. We then consider a restricted class of models, suitable for many but not all applications, and identify some further natural principles valid on this class. We conclude by arguing that the present framework compares favorably to the rival probabilistic accounts of belief developed by Leitgeb and by Lin and Kelly.
first_indexed 2024-03-07T08:09:41Z
format Conference item
id oxford-uuid:78a10fc3-dbc5-4216-a5f1-40bd45031b6a
institution University of Oxford
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-07T08:09:41Z
publishDate 2023
publisher Electronic Proceedings in Theoretical Computer Science
record_format dspace
spelling oxford-uuid:78a10fc3-dbc5-4216-a5f1-40bd45031b6a2023-11-15T09:36:39ZBelief revision from probabilityConference itemhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_5794uuid:78a10fc3-dbc5-4216-a5f1-40bd45031b6aEnglishSymplectic ElementsElectronic Proceedings in Theoretical Computer Science2023Salow, BJGoodman, JIn previous work ("Knowledge from Probability", TARK 2021) we develop a question-relative, probabilistic account of belief. On this account, what someone believes relative to a given question is (i) closed under entailment, (ii) sufficiently probable given their evidence, and (iii) sensitive to the relative probabilities of the answers to the question. Here we explore the implications of this account for the dynamics of belief. We show that the principles it validates are much weaker than those of orthodox theories of belief revision like AGM, but still stronger than those valid according to the popular Lockean theory of belief, which equates belief with high subjective probability. We then consider a restricted class of models, suitable for many but not all applications, and identify some further natural principles valid on this class. We conclude by arguing that the present framework compares favorably to the rival probabilistic accounts of belief developed by Leitgeb and by Lin and Kelly.
spellingShingle Salow, BJ
Goodman, J
Belief revision from probability
title Belief revision from probability
title_full Belief revision from probability
title_fullStr Belief revision from probability
title_full_unstemmed Belief revision from probability
title_short Belief revision from probability
title_sort belief revision from probability
work_keys_str_mv AT salowbj beliefrevisionfromprobability
AT goodmanj beliefrevisionfromprobability