Calibrating climate change time-slice projections with estimates of seasonal forecast reliability

Calibrating climate change time-slice projections with estimates of seasonal forecast reliability

In earlier work, it was proposed that the reliability of climate change projections, particularly of regional rainfall, could be improved if such projections were calibrated using quantitative measures of reliability obtained by running the same model in seasonal forecast mode. This proposal is test...

Bibliografski detalji
Glavni autori:	Matsueda, M, Weisheimer, A, Palmer, T
Format:	Journal article
Izdano:	American Meteorological Society 2016

Slični predmeti

On the reliability of seasonal climate forecasts.
od: Weisheimer, A, i dr.
Izdano: (2014)

Toward seamless prediction: Calibration of climate change projections using seasonal forecasts
od: Palmer, T, i dr.
Izdano: (2008)

Toward Seamless Prediction: Calibration of Climate Change Projections Using Seasonal Forecasts Reply
od: Palmer, T, i dr.
Izdano: (2009)

Estimates of flow‐dependent predictability of wintertime Euro‐Atlantic weather regimes in medium‐range forecasts
od: Matsueda, M, i dr.
Izdano: (2018)

Assessment of representations of model uncertainty in monthly and seasonal forecast ensembles
od: Weisheimer, A, i dr.
Izdano: (2011)

Assessment of representations of model uncertainty in monthly and seasonal forecast ensembles
od: Weisheimer, A, i dr.
Izdano: (2011)

Calibrating large-ensemble European climate projections using observational data
od: O'Reilly, C, i dr.
Izdano: (2020)

Accuracy of climate change predictions using high resolution simulations as surrogates of truth
od: Matsueda, M, i dr.
Izdano: (2011)

Oceanic stochastic parametrizations in a seasonal forecast system
od: Andrejczuk, M, i dr.
Izdano: (2016)

Forecasting disease risk with seasonal climate predictions.
od: Thomson, M, i dr.
Izdano: (2000)

Seasonal forecasts of the 20th century
od: Weisheimer, A, i dr.
Izdano: (2020)

Changing frequency of occurrence of extreme seasonal temperatures under global warming
od: Weisheimer, A, i dr.
Izdano: (2005)

Seasonal forecasts, climatic change and human health /
od: Thomson, Madeleine C., i dr.
Izdano: (2008)

Seasonal to annual ocean forecasting skill and the role of model and observational uncertainty
od: Juricke, S, i dr.
Izdano: (2018)

A simple pedagogical model linking initial-value reliability with trustworthiness in the forced climate response
od: Palmer, T, i dr.
Izdano: (2017)

The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting - II. Calibration and combination
od: Doblas-Reyes, F, i dr.
Izdano: (2005)

Flow dependent ensemble spread in seasonal forecasts of the boreal winter extratropics
od: MacLeod, D, i dr.
Izdano: (2018)

Information Content of Seasonal Forecasts in a Changing Climate
od: Nir Y. Krakauer, i dr.
Izdano: (2013-01-01)

Addressing model error through atmospheric stochastic physical parametrizations: impact on the coupled ECMWF seasonal forecasting system.
od: Weisheimer, A, i dr.
Izdano: (2014)

Decadal climate prediction with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts coupled forecast system: Impact of ocean observations
od: Doblas-Reyes, F, i dr.
Izdano: (2011)

Decadal climate prediction with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts coupled forecast system: Impact of ocean observations
od: Doblas-Reyes, F, i dr.
Izdano: (2011)

Reliable renewable energy forecasting for climate change mitigation
od: Walid Atwa, i dr.
Izdano: (2024-05-01)

Changing frequency of occurrence of extreme seasonal temperatures under global warming (vol 32, art no L20721, 2005)
od: Weisheimer, A, i dr.
Izdano: (2006)

Assessing the robustness of multidecadal variability in Northern Hemisphere wintertime seasonal forecast skill
od: O'Reilly, CH, i dr.
Izdano: (2020)

Heatwave attribution based on reliable operational weather forecasts
od: Leach, NJ, i dr.
Izdano: (2024)

A new view of seasonal forecast skill: bounding boxes from the DEMETER ensemble forecasts
od: Weisheimer, A, i dr.
Izdano: (2005)

High-Resolution Global Climate Simulations with the ECMWF Model in Project Athena: Experimental Design, Model Climate, and Seasonal Forecast Skill
od: Jung, T, i dr.
Izdano: (2012)

Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts
od: Doblas-Reyes, F, i dr.
Izdano: (2009)

Beyond skill scores: exploring sub‐seasonal forecast value through a case‐study of French month‐ahead energy prediction
od: Dorrington, J, i dr.
Izdano: (2020)

Dynamically-based seasonal forecasts of Atlantic tropical storm activity issued in June by EUROSIP
od: Vitart, F, i dr.
Izdano: (2007)

Erratum: "Changing frequency of occurrence of extreme seasonal temperatures under global warming" (Geophysical Research Letters (2005) vol. 32 10.1029/2005GL023365)
od: Weisheimer, A, i dr.
Izdano: (2006)

Comparing TIGGE multimodel forecasts with reforecast-calibrated ECMWF ensemble forecasts
od: Hagedorn, R, i dr.
Izdano: (2012)

Variability in seasonal forecast skill of Northern Hemisphere winters over the 20th century
od: O'Reilly, C, i dr.
Izdano: (2017)

Heatwave attribution based on reliable operational weather forecasts
od: Nicholas J. Leach, i dr.
Izdano: (2024-05-01)

The strong role of external forcing in seasonal forecasts of European summer temperature
od: Patterson, M, i dr.
Izdano: (2022)

The northern hemisphere circumglobal teleconnection in a seasonal forecast model and its relationship to European summer forecast skill
od: Beverley, J, i dr.
Izdano: (2018)

Impact of snow initialization on sub-seasonal forecasts
od: Orsolini, Y, i dr.
Izdano: (2013)

Impact of snow initialization on sub-seasonal forecasts
od: Orsolini, Y, i dr.
Izdano: (2013)

Malaria early warnings based on seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model ensembles.
od: Thomson, M, i dr.
Izdano: (2006)

Slicing time
od: Dahlan, Nur Dalilah
Izdano: (2010)