Reliable low precision simulations in land surface models

Weather and climate models must continue to increase in both resolution and complexity in order that forecasts become more accurate and reliable. Moving to lower numerical precision may be an essential tool for coping with the demand for ever increasing model complexity in addition to increasing com...

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Main Authors: Dawson, A, Düben, P, Macleod, D, Palmer, T
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Springer Nature 2017
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author Dawson, A
Düben, P
Macleod, D
Palmer, T
author_facet Dawson, A
Düben, P
Macleod, D
Palmer, T
author_sort Dawson, A
collection OXFORD
description Weather and climate models must continue to increase in both resolution and complexity in order that forecasts become more accurate and reliable. Moving to lower numerical precision may be an essential tool for coping with the demand for ever increasing model complexity in addition to increasing computing resources. However, there have been some concerns in the weather and climate modelling community over the suitability of lower precision for climate models, particularly for representing processes that change very slowly over long time-scales. These processes are difficult to represent using low precision due to time increments being systematically rounded to zero. Idealised simulations are used to demonstrate that a model of deep soil heat diffusion that fails when run in single precision can be modified to work correctly using low precision, by splitting up the model into a small higher precision part and a low precision part. This strategy retains the computational benefits of reduced precision whilst preserving accuracy. This same technique is also applied to a full complexity land surface model, resulting in rounding errors that are significantly smaller than initial condition and parameter uncertainties. Although lower precision will present some problems for the weather and climate modelling community, many of the problems can likely be overcome using a straightforward and physically motivated application of reduced precision.
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spelling oxford-uuid:7c524a82-70ef-4a89-a14d-bff05896ca5d2022-03-26T20:56:18ZReliable low precision simulations in land surface modelsJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:7c524a82-70ef-4a89-a14d-bff05896ca5dEnglishSymplectic Elements at OxfordSpringer Nature2017Dawson, ADüben, PMacleod, DPalmer, TWeather and climate models must continue to increase in both resolution and complexity in order that forecasts become more accurate and reliable. Moving to lower numerical precision may be an essential tool for coping with the demand for ever increasing model complexity in addition to increasing computing resources. However, there have been some concerns in the weather and climate modelling community over the suitability of lower precision for climate models, particularly for representing processes that change very slowly over long time-scales. These processes are difficult to represent using low precision due to time increments being systematically rounded to zero. Idealised simulations are used to demonstrate that a model of deep soil heat diffusion that fails when run in single precision can be modified to work correctly using low precision, by splitting up the model into a small higher precision part and a low precision part. This strategy retains the computational benefits of reduced precision whilst preserving accuracy. This same technique is also applied to a full complexity land surface model, resulting in rounding errors that are significantly smaller than initial condition and parameter uncertainties. Although lower precision will present some problems for the weather and climate modelling community, many of the problems can likely be overcome using a straightforward and physically motivated application of reduced precision.
spellingShingle Dawson, A
Düben, P
Macleod, D
Palmer, T
Reliable low precision simulations in land surface models
title Reliable low precision simulations in land surface models
title_full Reliable low precision simulations in land surface models
title_fullStr Reliable low precision simulations in land surface models
title_full_unstemmed Reliable low precision simulations in land surface models
title_short Reliable low precision simulations in land surface models
title_sort reliable low precision simulations in land surface models
work_keys_str_mv AT dawsona reliablelowprecisionsimulationsinlandsurfacemodels
AT dubenp reliablelowprecisionsimulationsinlandsurfacemodels
AT macleodd reliablelowprecisionsimulationsinlandsurfacemodels
AT palmert reliablelowprecisionsimulationsinlandsurfacemodels