Rotavirus within day care centres in Oxfordshire, UK: characterization of partial immunity.

Repeated measures data for rotavirus infection in children within 14 day care centres (DCCs) in the Oxfordshire area, UK, are used to explore aspects of rotavirus transmission and immunity. A biologically realistic model for the transmission of infection is presented as a set of probability models s...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: White, L, Buttery, J, Cooper, B, Nokes, D, Medley, G
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: 2008
_version_ 1826281399615750144
author White, L
Buttery, J
Cooper, B
Nokes, D
Medley, G
author_facet White, L
Buttery, J
Cooper, B
Nokes, D
Medley, G
author_sort White, L
collection OXFORD
description Repeated measures data for rotavirus infection in children within 14 day care centres (DCCs) in the Oxfordshire area, UK, are used to explore aspects of rotavirus transmission and immunity. A biologically realistic model for the transmission of infection is presented as a set of probability models suitable for application to the data. Two transition events are modelled separately: incidence and recovery. The complexity of the underlying mechanistic model is reflected in the choice of the fixed variables in the probability models. Parameter estimation was carried out using a Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo method. We use the parameter estimates obtained to build a profile of the natural history of rotavirus reinfection in an individual child. We infer that rotavirus transmission in children in DCCs is dependent on the DCC prevalence, with symptomatic infection of longer duration, but no more infectious per day of infectious period, than asymptomatic infection. There was evidence that a recent previous infection reduces the risk of disease and, to a lesser extent, reinfection, but not duration of infection. The results provide evidence that partial immunity to rotavirus infection develops over several time scales.
first_indexed 2024-03-07T00:28:13Z
format Journal article
id oxford-uuid:7edbfcca-bc9e-4d2c-8faf-801e73aea64e
institution University of Oxford
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-07T00:28:13Z
publishDate 2008
record_format dspace
spelling oxford-uuid:7edbfcca-bc9e-4d2c-8faf-801e73aea64e2022-03-26T21:12:56ZRotavirus within day care centres in Oxfordshire, UK: characterization of partial immunity.Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:7edbfcca-bc9e-4d2c-8faf-801e73aea64eEnglishSymplectic Elements at Oxford2008White, LButtery, JCooper, BNokes, DMedley, GRepeated measures data for rotavirus infection in children within 14 day care centres (DCCs) in the Oxfordshire area, UK, are used to explore aspects of rotavirus transmission and immunity. A biologically realistic model for the transmission of infection is presented as a set of probability models suitable for application to the data. Two transition events are modelled separately: incidence and recovery. The complexity of the underlying mechanistic model is reflected in the choice of the fixed variables in the probability models. Parameter estimation was carried out using a Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo method. We use the parameter estimates obtained to build a profile of the natural history of rotavirus reinfection in an individual child. We infer that rotavirus transmission in children in DCCs is dependent on the DCC prevalence, with symptomatic infection of longer duration, but no more infectious per day of infectious period, than asymptomatic infection. There was evidence that a recent previous infection reduces the risk of disease and, to a lesser extent, reinfection, but not duration of infection. The results provide evidence that partial immunity to rotavirus infection develops over several time scales.
spellingShingle White, L
Buttery, J
Cooper, B
Nokes, D
Medley, G
Rotavirus within day care centres in Oxfordshire, UK: characterization of partial immunity.
title Rotavirus within day care centres in Oxfordshire, UK: characterization of partial immunity.
title_full Rotavirus within day care centres in Oxfordshire, UK: characterization of partial immunity.
title_fullStr Rotavirus within day care centres in Oxfordshire, UK: characterization of partial immunity.
title_full_unstemmed Rotavirus within day care centres in Oxfordshire, UK: characterization of partial immunity.
title_short Rotavirus within day care centres in Oxfordshire, UK: characterization of partial immunity.
title_sort rotavirus within day care centres in oxfordshire uk characterization of partial immunity
work_keys_str_mv AT whitel rotaviruswithindaycarecentresinoxfordshireukcharacterizationofpartialimmunity
AT butteryj rotaviruswithindaycarecentresinoxfordshireukcharacterizationofpartialimmunity
AT cooperb rotaviruswithindaycarecentresinoxfordshireukcharacterizationofpartialimmunity
AT nokesd rotaviruswithindaycarecentresinoxfordshireukcharacterizationofpartialimmunity
AT medleyg rotaviruswithindaycarecentresinoxfordshireukcharacterizationofpartialimmunity