Risk prediction of ischemic heart disease using plasma proteomics, conventional risk factors and polygenic scores in Chinese and European adults

<p><strong>Background:</strong> Plasma proteomics could enhance risk prediction for multiple diseases beyond conventional risk factors or polygenic scores (PS). Objectives: To assess utility of proteomics for risk prediction of ischemic heart disease (IHD) compared with conventiona...

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Main Authors: Mazidi, M, Wright, N, Yao, P, Kartsonaki, C, Millwood, IY, Fry, H, Said, S, Pozarickij, A, Pei, P, Chen, Y, Wang, B, Avery, D, Du, H, Schmidt, DV, Yang, L, Lv, J, Yu, C, Sun, D, Chen, J, Hill, M, Peto, R, Collins, R, Bennett, DA, Walters, RG, Li, L, Clarke, R, Chen, Z
Other Authors: China Kadoorie Biobank Collaborative Group
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2024
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author Mazidi, M
Wright, N
Yao, P
Kartsonaki, C
Millwood, IY
Fry, H
Said, S
Pozarickij, A
Pei, P
Chen, Y
Wang, B
Avery, D
Du, H
Schmidt, DV
Yang, L
Lv, J
Yu, C
Sun, D
Chen, J
Hill, M
Peto, R
Collins, R
Bennett, DA
Walters, RG
Li, L
Clarke, R
Chen, Z
author2 China Kadoorie Biobank Collaborative Group
author_facet China Kadoorie Biobank Collaborative Group
Mazidi, M
Wright, N
Yao, P
Kartsonaki, C
Millwood, IY
Fry, H
Said, S
Pozarickij, A
Pei, P
Chen, Y
Wang, B
Avery, D
Du, H
Schmidt, DV
Yang, L
Lv, J
Yu, C
Sun, D
Chen, J
Hill, M
Peto, R
Collins, R
Bennett, DA
Walters, RG
Li, L
Clarke, R
Chen, Z
author_sort Mazidi, M
collection OXFORD
description <p><strong>Background:</strong> Plasma proteomics could enhance risk prediction for multiple diseases beyond conventional risk factors or polygenic scores (PS). Objectives: To assess utility of proteomics for risk prediction of ischemic heart disease (IHD) compared with conventional risk factors and PS in Chinese and European populations.</p> <p><strong>Methods:</strong> A nested case-cohort study measured plasma levels of 2923 proteins using OLINK Explore panel in ~4000 Chinese adults (1976 incident IHD cases and 2001 subcohort controls). We used conventional and machine learning (Boruta) methods to develop proteomics-based prediction models of IHD, with discrimination assessed using area under the curve (AUC), C-statistics and net reclassification index (NRI). These were compared with conventional risk factors and PS in Chinese and in 37,187 Europeans.</p> <p><strong>Results:</strong> Overall, 446 proteins were associated with IHD (false discovery rate &lt;0.05) in Chinese after adjustment for conventional cardiovascular disease risk factors. Proteomic risk models alone yielded higher C-statistics for IHD than conventional risk factors or PS (0.855 [95%CI 0.841-0.868] vs. 0.845 [0.829-0.860] vs 0.553 [0.528-0.578], respectively). Addition of 446 proteins to PS improved C-statistics to 0.857 (0.843-0.871) and NRI by 109.1%; and addition to conventional risk factors improved C-statistics to 0.868 (0.854-0.882) and NRI by 86.9%. Boruta analysis identified 30 proteins accounting for ~90% of improvement in NRI for IHD conferred by all 2923 proteins. Similar proteomic panels yielded comparable improvements in risk prediction of IHD in Europeans.</p> <p><strong>Conclusions:</strong> Plasma proteomics improved risk prediction of IHD beyond conventional risk factors and PS and could enhance precision medicine approaches for primary prevention of IHD.</p>
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spelling oxford-uuid:8845e982-48d1-481a-846f-b109517cec2d2024-10-24T13:01:42ZRisk prediction of ischemic heart disease using plasma proteomics, conventional risk factors and polygenic scores in Chinese and European adultsJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:8845e982-48d1-481a-846f-b109517cec2dEnglishSymplectic ElementsSpringer2024Mazidi, MWright, NYao, PKartsonaki, CMillwood, IYFry, HSaid, SPozarickij, APei, PChen, YWang, BAvery, DDu, HSchmidt, DVYang, LLv, JYu, CSun, DChen, JHill, MPeto, RCollins, RBennett, DAWalters, RGLi, LClarke, RChen, ZChina Kadoorie Biobank Collaborative Group<p><strong>Background:</strong> Plasma proteomics could enhance risk prediction for multiple diseases beyond conventional risk factors or polygenic scores (PS). Objectives: To assess utility of proteomics for risk prediction of ischemic heart disease (IHD) compared with conventional risk factors and PS in Chinese and European populations.</p> <p><strong>Methods:</strong> A nested case-cohort study measured plasma levels of 2923 proteins using OLINK Explore panel in ~4000 Chinese adults (1976 incident IHD cases and 2001 subcohort controls). We used conventional and machine learning (Boruta) methods to develop proteomics-based prediction models of IHD, with discrimination assessed using area under the curve (AUC), C-statistics and net reclassification index (NRI). These were compared with conventional risk factors and PS in Chinese and in 37,187 Europeans.</p> <p><strong>Results:</strong> Overall, 446 proteins were associated with IHD (false discovery rate &lt;0.05) in Chinese after adjustment for conventional cardiovascular disease risk factors. Proteomic risk models alone yielded higher C-statistics for IHD than conventional risk factors or PS (0.855 [95%CI 0.841-0.868] vs. 0.845 [0.829-0.860] vs 0.553 [0.528-0.578], respectively). Addition of 446 proteins to PS improved C-statistics to 0.857 (0.843-0.871) and NRI by 109.1%; and addition to conventional risk factors improved C-statistics to 0.868 (0.854-0.882) and NRI by 86.9%. Boruta analysis identified 30 proteins accounting for ~90% of improvement in NRI for IHD conferred by all 2923 proteins. Similar proteomic panels yielded comparable improvements in risk prediction of IHD in Europeans.</p> <p><strong>Conclusions:</strong> Plasma proteomics improved risk prediction of IHD beyond conventional risk factors and PS and could enhance precision medicine approaches for primary prevention of IHD.</p>
spellingShingle Mazidi, M
Wright, N
Yao, P
Kartsonaki, C
Millwood, IY
Fry, H
Said, S
Pozarickij, A
Pei, P
Chen, Y
Wang, B
Avery, D
Du, H
Schmidt, DV
Yang, L
Lv, J
Yu, C
Sun, D
Chen, J
Hill, M
Peto, R
Collins, R
Bennett, DA
Walters, RG
Li, L
Clarke, R
Chen, Z
Risk prediction of ischemic heart disease using plasma proteomics, conventional risk factors and polygenic scores in Chinese and European adults
title Risk prediction of ischemic heart disease using plasma proteomics, conventional risk factors and polygenic scores in Chinese and European adults
title_full Risk prediction of ischemic heart disease using plasma proteomics, conventional risk factors and polygenic scores in Chinese and European adults
title_fullStr Risk prediction of ischemic heart disease using plasma proteomics, conventional risk factors and polygenic scores in Chinese and European adults
title_full_unstemmed Risk prediction of ischemic heart disease using plasma proteomics, conventional risk factors and polygenic scores in Chinese and European adults
title_short Risk prediction of ischemic heart disease using plasma proteomics, conventional risk factors and polygenic scores in Chinese and European adults
title_sort risk prediction of ischemic heart disease using plasma proteomics conventional risk factors and polygenic scores in chinese and european adults
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