Savings and investment decisions in a poor oil economy: beyond the textbook case

The current commodity boom is a major opportunity for poor countries exporting exhaustible resources such as oil. In the past oil booms were often mismanaged leaving the country with lower long run income. Many countries are now well aware that booms require intricate savings and investment strategi...

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Autors principals: Collier, P, Gunning, J
Format: Working paper
Idioma:English
Publicat: 2007
Matèries:
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author Collier, P
Gunning, J
author_facet Collier, P
Gunning, J
author_sort Collier, P
collection OXFORD
description The current commodity boom is a major opportunity for poor countries exporting exhaustible resources such as oil. In the past oil booms were often mismanaged leaving the country with lower long run income. Many countries are now well aware that booms require intricate savings and investment strategies and some are use legislation to lock-in such strategies. However, the textbook characterization of optimal savings and investment is not appropriate for poor oil economies. Such countries have imperfect access to international capital markets and traded construction services and they run a risk that a future populist regime will run down the assets saved for future downturns. We investigate the effects of these characteristics on optimal savings and investment and use a simulation model to illustrate their importance.
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spelling oxford-uuid:884ed98e-ddd4-4bf7-ad4f-c2d444e48d842022-03-26T22:16:18ZSavings and investment decisions in a poor oil economy: beyond the textbook caseWorking paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:884ed98e-ddd4-4bf7-ad4f-c2d444e48d84Development economicsJEL: H3JEL: O1JEL: F4EnglishOxford University Research Archive - Valet2007Collier, PGunning, JThe current commodity boom is a major opportunity for poor countries exporting exhaustible resources such as oil. In the past oil booms were often mismanaged leaving the country with lower long run income. Many countries are now well aware that booms require intricate savings and investment strategies and some are use legislation to lock-in such strategies. However, the textbook characterization of optimal savings and investment is not appropriate for poor oil economies. Such countries have imperfect access to international capital markets and traded construction services and they run a risk that a future populist regime will run down the assets saved for future downturns. We investigate the effects of these characteristics on optimal savings and investment and use a simulation model to illustrate their importance.
spellingShingle Development economics
JEL: H3
JEL: O1
JEL: F4
Collier, P
Gunning, J
Savings and investment decisions in a poor oil economy: beyond the textbook case
title Savings and investment decisions in a poor oil economy: beyond the textbook case
title_full Savings and investment decisions in a poor oil economy: beyond the textbook case
title_fullStr Savings and investment decisions in a poor oil economy: beyond the textbook case
title_full_unstemmed Savings and investment decisions in a poor oil economy: beyond the textbook case
title_short Savings and investment decisions in a poor oil economy: beyond the textbook case
title_sort savings and investment decisions in a poor oil economy beyond the textbook case
topic Development economics
JEL: H3
JEL: O1
JEL: F4
work_keys_str_mv AT collierp savingsandinvestmentdecisionsinapooroileconomybeyondthetextbookcase
AT gunningj savingsandinvestmentdecisionsinapooroileconomybeyondthetextbookcase