The Doomsday argument and the self-indication assumption: reply to Olum

In a recent paper in this journal, Ken Olum attempts to refute the Doomsday argument by appealing to the self-indication assumption (SIA), the idea that your very existence gives you reason to think that there are many observers. In contrast to earlier refutation attempts that use this strategy, Olu...

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Главные авторы: Bostrom, N, Ćirković, M
Другие авторы: Scots Philosophical Club
Формат: Journal article
Язык:English
Опубликовано: Blackwell Publishing 2003
Предметы:
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author Bostrom, N
Ćirković, M
author2 Scots Philosophical Club
author_facet Scots Philosophical Club
Bostrom, N
Ćirković, M
author_sort Bostrom, N
collection OXFORD
description In a recent paper in this journal, Ken Olum attempts to refute the Doomsday argument by appealing to the self-indication assumption (SIA), the idea that your very existence gives you reason to think that there are many observers. In contrast to earlier refutation attempts that use this strategy, Olum confronts and try to counter some of the objections that have been made against SIA. We argue that his defense of SIA is unsuccessful. This does not, however, mean that one has to accept the Doomsday argument (or the other counterintuitive results that flow from related thought experiments). A developed theory of observation selection effects shows why the Doomsday argument is inconclusive and how one can consistently reject both it and SIA.
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spelling oxford-uuid:88896e88-88b8-4bb3-97db-2f4da16ee5f92022-03-26T22:17:56ZThe Doomsday argument and the self-indication assumption: reply to OlumJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:88896e88-88b8-4bb3-97db-2f4da16ee5f9PhilosophyEnglishOxford University Research Archive - ValetBlackwell Publishing2003Bostrom, NĆirković, MScots Philosophical ClubUniversity of St AndrewsIn a recent paper in this journal, Ken Olum attempts to refute the Doomsday argument by appealing to the self-indication assumption (SIA), the idea that your very existence gives you reason to think that there are many observers. In contrast to earlier refutation attempts that use this strategy, Olum confronts and try to counter some of the objections that have been made against SIA. We argue that his defense of SIA is unsuccessful. This does not, however, mean that one has to accept the Doomsday argument (or the other counterintuitive results that flow from related thought experiments). A developed theory of observation selection effects shows why the Doomsday argument is inconclusive and how one can consistently reject both it and SIA.
spellingShingle Philosophy
Bostrom, N
Ćirković, M
The Doomsday argument and the self-indication assumption: reply to Olum
title The Doomsday argument and the self-indication assumption: reply to Olum
title_full The Doomsday argument and the self-indication assumption: reply to Olum
title_fullStr The Doomsday argument and the self-indication assumption: reply to Olum
title_full_unstemmed The Doomsday argument and the self-indication assumption: reply to Olum
title_short The Doomsday argument and the self-indication assumption: reply to Olum
title_sort doomsday argument and the self indication assumption reply to olum
topic Philosophy
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