Evaluation of ensemble forecast uncertainty using a new proper score: Application to medium-range and seasonal forecasts

Evaluation of ensemble forecast uncertainty using a new proper score: Application to medium-range and seasonal forecasts

Podrobná bibliografie
Hlavní autoři:	Christensen, H, Moroz, I, Palmer, T
Médium:	Journal article
Vydáno:	2014

Podobné jednotky

Assessment of representations of model uncertainty in monthly and seasonal forecast ensembles
Autor: Weisheimer, A, a další
Vydáno: (2011)

Assessment of representations of model uncertainty in monthly and seasonal forecast ensembles
Autor: Weisheimer, A, a další
Vydáno: (2011)

Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts
Autor: Doblas-Reyes, F, a další
Vydáno: (2009)

Blocking Predictability in Operational Medium-Range Ensemble Forecasts
Autor: Matsueda, M
Vydáno: (2009)

Spatiotemporal Behavior of the TIGGE Medium-Range Ensemble Forecasts
Autor: Kipling, Z, a další
Vydáno: (2011)

Significance of changes in medium-range forecast scores
Autor: Alan J. Geer
Vydáno: (2016-09-01)

Ensemble sensitivity analysis of Greenland blocking in medium‐range forecasts
Autor: Parker, TJ, a další
Vydáno: (2018)

THE IMPACT OF EL NINO ON AN ENSEMBLE OF EXTENDED-RANGE FORECASTS
Autor: Owen, J, a další
Vydáno: (1987)

A pan-African medium-range ensemble flood forecast system
Autor: V. Thiemig, a další
Vydáno: (2015-08-01)

Postprocessing of Medium Range Hydrological Ensemble Forecasts Making Use of Reforecasts
Autor: Joris Van den Bergh, a další
Vydáno: (2016-05-01)

Ensemble forecasting
Autor: Leutbecher, M, a další
Vydáno: (2008)

Extreme rainfall prediction using the European centre for medium-range weather forecasts ensemble prediction system
Autor: Petroliagis, T, a další
Vydáno: (1996)

Downscaling medium-range ensemble forecasts using a neural network approach
Autor: M. Ohba, a další
Vydáno: (2015-06-01)

EXPERIMENTAL MONTHLY LONG-RANGE FORECASTS FOR THE UNITED-KINGDOM .2. A REAL-TIME LONG-RANGE FORECAST BY AN ENSEMBLE OF NUMERICAL INTEGRATIONS
Autor: Murphy, J, a další
Vydáno: (1986)

Impact of increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in seasonal ensemble forecasts
Autor: Doblas-Reyes, F, a další
Vydáno: (2006)

Novel multivariate quantile mapping methods for ensemble post-processing of medium-range forecasts
Autor: Kirien Whan, a další
Vydáno: (2021-06-01)

A new view of seasonal forecast skill: bounding boxes from the DEMETER ensemble forecasts
Autor: Weisheimer, A, a další
Vydáno: (2005)

EXTENDED-RANGE PREDICTIONS WITH ECMWF MODELS - TIME-LAGGED ENSEMBLE FORECASTING
Autor: Brankovic, C, a další
Vydáno: (1990)

Uncertainty Assessment: Reservoir Inflow Forecasting with Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts and HEC-HMS
Autor: Sheng-Chi Yang, a další
Vydáno: (2014-01-01)

Probabilistic medium-range forecasts of extreme heat events over East Asia based on a global ensemble forecasting system
Autor: Sunlae Tak, a další
Vydáno: (2024-09-01)

Flow dependent ensemble spread in seasonal forecasts of the boreal winter extratropics
Autor: MacLeod, D, a další
Vydáno: (2018)

Uncertainty and scale interactions in ocean ensembles: from seasonal forecasts to multi-decadal climate predictions
Autor: Zanna, L, a další
Vydáno: (2018)

Proper scoring rules for multivariate probabilistic forecasts based on aggregation and transformation
Autor: R. Pic, a další
Vydáno: (2025-03-01)

Accounting for three sources of uncertainty in ensemble hydrological forecasting
Autor: A. Thiboult, a další
Vydáno: (2016-05-01)

Seasonal to annual ocean forecasting skill and the role of model and observational uncertainty
Autor: Juricke, S, a další
Vydáno: (2018)

Uncertainty analysis of hydrological ensemble forecasts in a distributed model utilising short-range rainfall prediction
Autor: Y. Xuan, a další
Vydáno: (2009-03-01)

Assessment of an ensemble seasonal streamflow forecasting system for Australia
Autor: J. C. Bennett, a další
Vydáno: (2017-11-01)

The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting - II. Calibration and combination
Autor: Doblas-Reyes, F, a další
Vydáno: (2005)

The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting - I. Basic concept
Autor: Hagedorn, R, a další
Vydáno: (2005)

THE EUROPEAN-CENTER-FOR-MEDIUM-RANGE-WEATHER-FORECASTS (ECMWF) PROGRAM ON EXTENDED-RANGE PREDICTION
Autor: Palmer, T, a další
Vydáno: (1990)

Verification of medium-range MJO forecasts with TIGGE
Autor: Matsueda, M, a další
Vydáno: (2011)

Verification of medium-range MJO forecasts with TIGGE
Autor: Matsueda, M, a další
Vydáno: (2011)

Medium-range forecasting of oceanic eddy trajectory
Autor: Xiaoyan Chen, a další
Vydáno: (2024-12-01)

Decadal climate prediction with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts coupled forecast system: Impact of ocean observations
Autor: Doblas-Reyes, F, a další
Vydáno: (2011)

Decadal climate prediction with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts coupled forecast system: Impact of ocean observations
Autor: Doblas-Reyes, F, a další
Vydáno: (2011)

Early warning products for severe weather events derived from operational medium-range ensemble forecasts
Autor: Matsueda, M, a další
Vydáno: (2014)

Evaluating the impact of post-processing medium-range ensemble streamflow forecasts from the European Flood Awareness System
Autor: G. Matthews, a další
Vydáno: (2022-06-01)

Analogue Ensemble Averaging Method for Bias Correction of 2-m Temperature of the Medium-Range Forecasts in China
Autor: Yingying Hu, a další
Vydáno: (2022-12-01)

Medium-Range Probabilistic Forecasts of Wind Power Generation and Ramps in Japan Based on a Hybrid Ensemble
Autor: Masamichi Ohba, a další
Vydáno: (2018-10-01)

Predicting uncertainty in forecasts of weather and climate
Autor: Palmer, T
Vydáno: (2000)