Consistent Model Selection by an Automatic "Gets" Approach.

<p>We establish the consistency of the selection procedures embodied in <em>PcGets</em>, and compare their performance with other model selection criteria in linear regressions. The significance levels embedded in the <em>PcGets</em> Liberal and Conservative algorithms...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Campos, J, Hendry, D, Krolzig, H
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Blackwell Publishing Ltd 2003
Description
Summary:<p>We establish the consistency of the selection procedures embodied in <em>PcGets</em>, and compare their performance with other model selection criteria in linear regressions. The significance levels embedded in the <em>PcGets</em> Liberal and Conservative algorithms coincide in very large samples with those implicit in the Hannan-Quinn (HQ) and Schwarz information criteria (SIC) respectively. Thus, both <em>PcGets</em> rules are consistent under the same conditions as HQ and SIC. However, <em>PcGets</em> has rather different finite-sample behaviour. Pre-selecting to remove many of the candidate variables is confirmed as enhancing the performance of SIC.</p>