News shocks under financial frictions
We examine the dynamic effects and empirical role of TFP news shocks in the context of frictions in financial markets. We document two new facts using VAR methods. First, a (positive) shock to future TFP generates a significant decline in various credit spread indicators considered in the macro-fina...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Journal article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
American Economic Association
2022
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| _version_ | 1797107977714401280 |
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| author | Gortz, C Tsoukalas, J Zanetti, F |
| author_facet | Gortz, C Tsoukalas, J Zanetti, F |
| author_sort | Gortz, C |
| collection | OXFORD |
| description | We examine the dynamic effects and empirical role of TFP news shocks in the context of frictions in financial markets. We document two new facts using VAR methods.
First, a (positive) shock to future TFP generates a significant decline in various credit
spread indicators considered in the macro-finance literature. The decline in the credit
spread indicators is associated with a robust improvement in credit supply indicators,
along with a broad based expansion in economic activity. Second, VAR methods also
establish a tight link between TFP news shocks and shocks that explain the majority
of un-forecastable movements in credit spread indicators. These two facts provide robust evidence on the importance of movements in credit spreads for the propagation
of news shocks. A DSGE model enriched with a financial sector generates very similar
quantitative dynamics and shows that strong linkages between leveraged equity and excess premiums, which vary inversely with balance sheet conditions, are critical for the
amplification of TFP news shocks. The consistent assessment from both methodologies
provides support for the traditional ‘news view’ of aggregate fluctuations. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-07T07:23:03Z |
| format | Journal article |
| id | oxford-uuid:8ba8908e-8d06-4dd5-b1be-f505b450459c |
| institution | University of Oxford |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-07T07:23:03Z |
| publishDate | 2022 |
| publisher | American Economic Association |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oxford-uuid:8ba8908e-8d06-4dd5-b1be-f505b450459c2022-10-28T08:35:17ZNews shocks under financial frictionsJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:8ba8908e-8d06-4dd5-b1be-f505b450459cEnglishSymplectic ElementsAmerican Economic Association2022Gortz, CTsoukalas, JZanetti, FWe examine the dynamic effects and empirical role of TFP news shocks in the context of frictions in financial markets. We document two new facts using VAR methods. First, a (positive) shock to future TFP generates a significant decline in various credit spread indicators considered in the macro-finance literature. The decline in the credit spread indicators is associated with a robust improvement in credit supply indicators, along with a broad based expansion in economic activity. Second, VAR methods also establish a tight link between TFP news shocks and shocks that explain the majority of un-forecastable movements in credit spread indicators. These two facts provide robust evidence on the importance of movements in credit spreads for the propagation of news shocks. A DSGE model enriched with a financial sector generates very similar quantitative dynamics and shows that strong linkages between leveraged equity and excess premiums, which vary inversely with balance sheet conditions, are critical for the amplification of TFP news shocks. The consistent assessment from both methodologies provides support for the traditional ‘news view’ of aggregate fluctuations. |
| spellingShingle | Gortz, C Tsoukalas, J Zanetti, F News shocks under financial frictions |
| title | News shocks under financial frictions |
| title_full | News shocks under financial frictions |
| title_fullStr | News shocks under financial frictions |
| title_full_unstemmed | News shocks under financial frictions |
| title_short | News shocks under financial frictions |
| title_sort | news shocks under financial frictions |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT gortzc newsshocksunderfinancialfrictions AT tsoukalasj newsshocksunderfinancialfrictions AT zanettif newsshocksunderfinancialfrictions |