UK freight demand: elasticities and decoupling
The aim of this study is to estimate road freight demand in the UK for the period 1956–2003 and to assess the occurrence of decoupling between economic activity and freight demand as discussed in McKinnon (2006). As models with a deterministic trend cannot accommodate a long-run relationship between...
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Format: | Journal article |
Language: | English |
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School of Management
2009
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author | Agnolucci, P Bonilla, D |
author_facet | Agnolucci, P Bonilla, D |
author_sort | Agnolucci, P |
collection | OXFORD |
description | The aim of this study is to estimate road freight demand in the UK for the period 1956–2003 and to assess the occurrence of decoupling between economic activity and freight demand as discussed in McKinnon (2006). As models with a deterministic trend cannot accommodate a long-run relationship between the variables in the freight demand, one needs to model a relationship between growth rates rather than between the levels of the variables. Models with a stochastic trend gave better results and confirmed that the pace decoupling during the last years of the sample period increased. Price and income elasticities were estimated to be about 18 per cent and 65 per cent, respectively. |
first_indexed | 2024-03-07T01:07:07Z |
format | Journal article |
id | oxford-uuid:8bbbae80-160c-4c4c-98fe-9c5ad75140c3 |
institution | University of Oxford |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-07T01:07:07Z |
publishDate | 2009 |
publisher | School of Management |
record_format | dspace |
spelling | oxford-uuid:8bbbae80-160c-4c4c-98fe-9c5ad75140c32022-03-26T22:39:57ZUK freight demand: elasticities and decouplingJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:8bbbae80-160c-4c4c-98fe-9c5ad75140c3Economic historyEconomicsCommerce, Communications, TransportStochastic processesEconometricsEnglishOxford University Research Archive - ValetSchool of Management2009Agnolucci, PBonilla, DThe aim of this study is to estimate road freight demand in the UK for the period 1956–2003 and to assess the occurrence of decoupling between economic activity and freight demand as discussed in McKinnon (2006). As models with a deterministic trend cannot accommodate a long-run relationship between the variables in the freight demand, one needs to model a relationship between growth rates rather than between the levels of the variables. Models with a stochastic trend gave better results and confirmed that the pace decoupling during the last years of the sample period increased. Price and income elasticities were estimated to be about 18 per cent and 65 per cent, respectively. |
spellingShingle | Economic history Economics Commerce, Communications, Transport Stochastic processes Econometrics Agnolucci, P Bonilla, D UK freight demand: elasticities and decoupling |
title | UK freight demand: elasticities and decoupling |
title_full | UK freight demand: elasticities and decoupling |
title_fullStr | UK freight demand: elasticities and decoupling |
title_full_unstemmed | UK freight demand: elasticities and decoupling |
title_short | UK freight demand: elasticities and decoupling |
title_sort | uk freight demand elasticities and decoupling |
topic | Economic history Economics Commerce, Communications, Transport Stochastic processes Econometrics |
work_keys_str_mv | AT agnoluccip ukfreightdemandelasticitiesanddecoupling AT bonillad ukfreightdemandelasticitiesanddecoupling |