UK freight demand: elasticities and decoupling

The aim of this study is to estimate road freight demand in the UK for the period 1956–2003 and to assess the occurrence of decoupling between economic activity and freight demand as discussed in McKinnon (2006). As models with a deterministic trend cannot accommodate a long-run relationship between...

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Main Authors: Agnolucci, P, Bonilla, D
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: School of Management 2009
Subjects:
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author Agnolucci, P
Bonilla, D
author_facet Agnolucci, P
Bonilla, D
author_sort Agnolucci, P
collection OXFORD
description The aim of this study is to estimate road freight demand in the UK for the period 1956–2003 and to assess the occurrence of decoupling between economic activity and freight demand as discussed in McKinnon (2006). As models with a deterministic trend cannot accommodate a long-run relationship between the variables in the freight demand, one needs to model a relationship between growth rates rather than between the levels of the variables. Models with a stochastic trend gave better results and confirmed that the pace decoupling during the last years of the sample period increased. Price and income elasticities were estimated to be about 18 per cent and 65 per cent, respectively.
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spelling oxford-uuid:8bbbae80-160c-4c4c-98fe-9c5ad75140c32022-03-26T22:39:57ZUK freight demand: elasticities and decouplingJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:8bbbae80-160c-4c4c-98fe-9c5ad75140c3Economic historyEconomicsCommerce, Communications, TransportStochastic processesEconometricsEnglishOxford University Research Archive - ValetSchool of Management2009Agnolucci, PBonilla, DThe aim of this study is to estimate road freight demand in the UK for the period 1956–2003 and to assess the occurrence of decoupling between economic activity and freight demand as discussed in McKinnon (2006). As models with a deterministic trend cannot accommodate a long-run relationship between the variables in the freight demand, one needs to model a relationship between growth rates rather than between the levels of the variables. Models with a stochastic trend gave better results and confirmed that the pace decoupling during the last years of the sample period increased. Price and income elasticities were estimated to be about 18 per cent and 65 per cent, respectively.
spellingShingle Economic history
Economics
Commerce, Communications, Transport
Stochastic processes
Econometrics
Agnolucci, P
Bonilla, D
UK freight demand: elasticities and decoupling
title UK freight demand: elasticities and decoupling
title_full UK freight demand: elasticities and decoupling
title_fullStr UK freight demand: elasticities and decoupling
title_full_unstemmed UK freight demand: elasticities and decoupling
title_short UK freight demand: elasticities and decoupling
title_sort uk freight demand elasticities and decoupling
topic Economic history
Economics
Commerce, Communications, Transport
Stochastic processes
Econometrics
work_keys_str_mv AT agnoluccip ukfreightdemandelasticitiesanddecoupling
AT bonillad ukfreightdemandelasticitiesanddecoupling