Monetary policy in resource-rich economies

How should monetary policy respond to a commodity price shock in a resource-rich economy? As in the baseline New Keynesian model, the central bank of a small oil-exporting economy faces a tradeo between the stabilization of domestic ination and an appropriately defined output gap. But in our framewo...

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Main Authors: Ferrero, A, Seneca, M
Format: Working paper
Published: University of Oxford 2015
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author Ferrero, A
Seneca, M
author_facet Ferrero, A
Seneca, M
author_sort Ferrero, A
collection OXFORD
description How should monetary policy respond to a commodity price shock in a resource-rich economy? As in the baseline New Keynesian model, the central bank of a small oil-exporting economy faces a tradeo between the stabilization of domestic ination and an appropriately defined output gap. But in our framework the output gap depends on oil technology, and the weight on output gap stabilization is increasing in the importance of the oil sector. Given substantial spillovers to the rest of the economy, optimal policy calls for a reduction of the interest rate following a drop in the oil price. In contrast, a central bank with a mandate to stabilize consumer price inflation would raise interest rates to limit the inationary impact of an exchange rate depreciation.
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spelling oxford-uuid:8db11acc-f62b-4b64-843e-19ac769c7b992022-03-26T22:52:46ZMonetary policy in resource-rich economiesWorking paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:8db11acc-f62b-4b64-843e-19ac769c7b99Bulk import via SwordSymplectic ElementsUniversity of Oxford2015Ferrero, ASeneca, MHow should monetary policy respond to a commodity price shock in a resource-rich economy? As in the baseline New Keynesian model, the central bank of a small oil-exporting economy faces a tradeo between the stabilization of domestic ination and an appropriately defined output gap. But in our framework the output gap depends on oil technology, and the weight on output gap stabilization is increasing in the importance of the oil sector. Given substantial spillovers to the rest of the economy, optimal policy calls for a reduction of the interest rate following a drop in the oil price. In contrast, a central bank with a mandate to stabilize consumer price inflation would raise interest rates to limit the inationary impact of an exchange rate depreciation.
spellingShingle Ferrero, A
Seneca, M
Monetary policy in resource-rich economies
title Monetary policy in resource-rich economies
title_full Monetary policy in resource-rich economies
title_fullStr Monetary policy in resource-rich economies
title_full_unstemmed Monetary policy in resource-rich economies
title_short Monetary policy in resource-rich economies
title_sort monetary policy in resource rich economies
work_keys_str_mv AT ferreroa monetarypolicyinresourcericheconomies
AT senecam monetarypolicyinresourcericheconomies