Earnings shocks and tax-motivated income-shifting: evidence from European multinationals

This paper presents a new approach to estimating the existence and magnitude of tax-motivated income shifting within multinational corporations. Existing studies of income shifting use changes in corporate tax rates as a source of identification. In contrast, this paper exploits exogenous earnings s...

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Main Authors: Dharmapala, D, Riedel, N
Format: Journal article
Published: Oxford University Centre for Business Taxation 2010
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author Dharmapala, D
Riedel, N
author_facet Dharmapala, D
Riedel, N
author_sort Dharmapala, D
collection OXFORD
description This paper presents a new approach to estimating the existence and magnitude of tax-motivated income shifting within multinational corporations. Existing studies of income shifting use changes in corporate tax rates as a source of identification. In contrast, this paper exploits exogenous earnings shocks at the parent firm and investigates how these shocks propagate across low-tax and high-tax multinational subsidiaries. This approach is implemented using a large panel of European multinational affiliates over the period 1995 -2005. The central result is that parents’ positive earnings shocks are associated with a significantly positive increase in pretax profits at low-tax affiliates, relative to the effect on the pretax profits of high-tax affiliates. The result is robust to controlling for various other differences between low-tax and high-tax affiliates and for country-pair-year fixed effects. Additional tests suggest that the estimated effect is attributable primarily to the strategic use of debt across affiliates. The magnitude of income shifting estimated using this approach is substantial, but somewhat smaller than that found in the previous literat
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spelling oxford-uuid:8df47e2c-938f-4a8e-bafc-b05ab899c38f2022-03-26T22:54:30ZEarnings shocks and tax-motivated income-shifting: evidence from European multinationals Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:8df47e2c-938f-4a8e-bafc-b05ab899c38fSaïd Business School - EurekaOxford University Centre for Business Taxation2010Dharmapala, DRiedel, NThis paper presents a new approach to estimating the existence and magnitude of tax-motivated income shifting within multinational corporations. Existing studies of income shifting use changes in corporate tax rates as a source of identification. In contrast, this paper exploits exogenous earnings shocks at the parent firm and investigates how these shocks propagate across low-tax and high-tax multinational subsidiaries. This approach is implemented using a large panel of European multinational affiliates over the period 1995 -2005. The central result is that parents’ positive earnings shocks are associated with a significantly positive increase in pretax profits at low-tax affiliates, relative to the effect on the pretax profits of high-tax affiliates. The result is robust to controlling for various other differences between low-tax and high-tax affiliates and for country-pair-year fixed effects. Additional tests suggest that the estimated effect is attributable primarily to the strategic use of debt across affiliates. The magnitude of income shifting estimated using this approach is substantial, but somewhat smaller than that found in the previous literat
spellingShingle Dharmapala, D
Riedel, N
Earnings shocks and tax-motivated income-shifting: evidence from European multinationals
title Earnings shocks and tax-motivated income-shifting: evidence from European multinationals
title_full Earnings shocks and tax-motivated income-shifting: evidence from European multinationals
title_fullStr Earnings shocks and tax-motivated income-shifting: evidence from European multinationals
title_full_unstemmed Earnings shocks and tax-motivated income-shifting: evidence from European multinationals
title_short Earnings shocks and tax-motivated income-shifting: evidence from European multinationals
title_sort earnings shocks and tax motivated income shifting evidence from european multinationals
work_keys_str_mv AT dharmapalad earningsshocksandtaxmotivatedincomeshiftingevidencefromeuropeanmultinationals
AT riedeln earningsshocksandtaxmotivatedincomeshiftingevidencefromeuropeanmultinationals