Seasonality in tropical AIDS: a geographical analysis.

This paper presents evidence that the growth rate of the AIDS epidemic at the district level in Uganda, Central Africa, displays a seasonally recurring geographical pattern, with epidemic acceleration in some areas of the country in the first 8 months of each year. The spatial and temporal variation...

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Main Authors: Smallman-Raynor, MR, Cliff, A
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: 1992
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author Smallman-Raynor, MR
Cliff, A
author_facet Smallman-Raynor, MR
Cliff, A
author_sort Smallman-Raynor, MR
collection OXFORD
description This paper presents evidence that the growth rate of the AIDS epidemic at the district level in Uganda, Central Africa, displays a seasonally recurring geographical pattern, with epidemic acceleration in some areas of the country in the first 8 months of each year. The spatial and temporal variations in acceleration appear to be correlated with the predominant agricultural systems in different parts of Uganda. Based upon the frequently hypothesized relationship between malnourishment and the progression to clinical AIDS in HIV-infected people, it is suggested that the variations in epidemic speed reflect the seasonal patterns of nutritional deficiency which occur under some tropical agricultural systems. These preliminary findings require further verification since they have important implications for directing nutrition-related remedial responses to the AIDS epidemic in tropical countries where malnutrition and endemic HIV infection coincide.
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spelling oxford-uuid:8ee3a9d1-5c98-4fd8-a92c-3436286b53552022-03-26T23:00:38ZSeasonality in tropical AIDS: a geographical analysis.Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:8ee3a9d1-5c98-4fd8-a92c-3436286b5355EnglishSymplectic Elements at Oxford1992Smallman-Raynor, MRCliff, AThis paper presents evidence that the growth rate of the AIDS epidemic at the district level in Uganda, Central Africa, displays a seasonally recurring geographical pattern, with epidemic acceleration in some areas of the country in the first 8 months of each year. The spatial and temporal variations in acceleration appear to be correlated with the predominant agricultural systems in different parts of Uganda. Based upon the frequently hypothesized relationship between malnourishment and the progression to clinical AIDS in HIV-infected people, it is suggested that the variations in epidemic speed reflect the seasonal patterns of nutritional deficiency which occur under some tropical agricultural systems. These preliminary findings require further verification since they have important implications for directing nutrition-related remedial responses to the AIDS epidemic in tropical countries where malnutrition and endemic HIV infection coincide.
spellingShingle Smallman-Raynor, MR
Cliff, A
Seasonality in tropical AIDS: a geographical analysis.
title Seasonality in tropical AIDS: a geographical analysis.
title_full Seasonality in tropical AIDS: a geographical analysis.
title_fullStr Seasonality in tropical AIDS: a geographical analysis.
title_full_unstemmed Seasonality in tropical AIDS: a geographical analysis.
title_short Seasonality in tropical AIDS: a geographical analysis.
title_sort seasonality in tropical aids a geographical analysis
work_keys_str_mv AT smallmanraynormr seasonalityintropicalaidsageographicalanalysis
AT cliffa seasonalityintropicalaidsageographicalanalysis