| Shrnutí: | <p><strong>Background</p></strong>
Cardiovascular disease incidence and mortality have declined across developed economies and granular up-to-date cost-effectiveness evidence is required for treatments targeting large populations. To assess the health benefits and cost-effectiveness of standard and higher intensity statin therapy in the contemporary UK population 40–70 years old.
<p><strong>Methods</p></strong>
A cardiovascular disease microsimulation model, developed using the Cholesterol Treatment Trialists' Collaboration data (117,896 participants; 5 years follow-up), and calibrated in the UK Biobank cohort (501,854 participants; 9 years follow-up), projected risks of myocardial infarction, stroke, coronary revascularization, diabetes, cancer and vascular and nonvascular death for all UK Biobank participants without and with statin treatment. Meta-analyses of trials and cohort studies informed statins’ relative effects on cardiovascular events, incident diabetes, myopathy and rhabdomyolysis. UK healthcare perspective was taken (2020/2021 UK£) with costs per 28 tablets of £1.10 for standard (35%–45% LDL cholesterol (LDL-C) reduction) and £1.68 for higher intensity (≥45% LDL-C reduction) generic statin.
<p><strong>Findings</p></strong>
Across categories by sex, age, LDL-C, and cardiovascular disease history/10-year cardiovascular risk, lifetime standard statin increased survival by 0.28–1.85 years (0.20–1.09 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs)), and higher intensity statin by further 0.06–0.40 years (0.03–0.20 QALYs) per person. Standard statin was cost-effective across all categories with incremental cost per QALY from £280 to £8530, with higher intensity statin cost-effective at higher cardiovascular risks and higher LDL-C levels. Stopping statin early reduced benefits and was not cost-effective.
<p><strong>Interpretation</p></strong>
Lifetime low-cost statin therapy is cost-effective across all 40–70 years old in UK. Strengthening and widening statin treatment could cost-effectively improve population health.
<p><strong>Funding</p></strong>
UK NIHR Health Technology Assessment Programme (17/140/02).
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