Intrinsic randomness in epidemic modelling beyond statistical uncertainty

Uncertainty can be classified as either aleatoric (intrinsic randomness) or epistemic (imperfect knowledge of parameters). The majority of frameworks assessing infectious disease risk consider only epistemic uncertainty. We only ever observe a single epidemic, and therefore cannot empirically determ...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Penn, MJ, Laydon, DJ, Penn, J, Whittaker, C, Morgenstern, C, Ratmann, O, Mishra, S, Pakkanen, MS, Donnelly, CA, Bhatt, S
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Springer Nature 2023