How well do experience curves predict technological progress? A method for making distributional forecasts
Experience curves are widely used to predict the cost benefits of increasing the deployment of a technology. But how good are such forecasts? Can one predict their accuracy a priori? In this paper we answer these questions by developing a method to make distributional forecasts for experience curves...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Journal article |
| Published: |
Elsevier
2017
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