Exogeneity, Cointegration, and Economic Policy Analysis.

This overview examines conditions for reliable economic policy analysis based on econometric models, focusing on the econometric concepts of exogeneity, cointegration, causality, and invariance. Weak, strong, and super exogeneity are discussed in general and these concepts are then applied to the us...

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Main Authors: Ericsson, N, Hendry, D, Mizon, G
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: American Statistical Association 1998
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author Ericsson, N
Hendry, D
Mizon, G
author_facet Ericsson, N
Hendry, D
Mizon, G
author_sort Ericsson, N
collection OXFORD
description This overview examines conditions for reliable economic policy analysis based on econometric models, focusing on the econometric concepts of exogeneity, cointegration, causality, and invariance. Weak, strong, and super exogeneity are discussed in general and these concepts are then applied to the use of econometric models in policy analysis when the variables are cointegrated. Implications follow for model constancy, the Lucas critique, equation inversion, and impulse response analysis. A small money-demand model for the United Kingdom illustrates the main analytical points. This article then summarizes the other articles in this issue's special section on exogeneity, cointegration, and economic policy analysis.
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spelling oxford-uuid:9a3dfe9d-8631-447a-8e59-b271e9e858932022-03-27T00:19:58ZExogeneity, Cointegration, and Economic Policy Analysis.Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:9a3dfe9d-8631-447a-8e59-b271e9e85893EnglishDepartment of Economics - ePrintsAmerican Statistical Association1998Ericsson, NHendry, DMizon, GThis overview examines conditions for reliable economic policy analysis based on econometric models, focusing on the econometric concepts of exogeneity, cointegration, causality, and invariance. Weak, strong, and super exogeneity are discussed in general and these concepts are then applied to the use of econometric models in policy analysis when the variables are cointegrated. Implications follow for model constancy, the Lucas critique, equation inversion, and impulse response analysis. A small money-demand model for the United Kingdom illustrates the main analytical points. This article then summarizes the other articles in this issue's special section on exogeneity, cointegration, and economic policy analysis.
spellingShingle Ericsson, N
Hendry, D
Mizon, G
Exogeneity, Cointegration, and Economic Policy Analysis.
title Exogeneity, Cointegration, and Economic Policy Analysis.
title_full Exogeneity, Cointegration, and Economic Policy Analysis.
title_fullStr Exogeneity, Cointegration, and Economic Policy Analysis.
title_full_unstemmed Exogeneity, Cointegration, and Economic Policy Analysis.
title_short Exogeneity, Cointegration, and Economic Policy Analysis.
title_sort exogeneity cointegration and economic policy analysis
work_keys_str_mv AT ericssonn exogeneitycointegrationandeconomicpolicyanalysis
AT hendryd exogeneitycointegrationandeconomicpolicyanalysis
AT mizong exogeneitycointegrationandeconomicpolicyanalysis