Will an outbreak exceed available resources for control? Estimating the risk from invading pathogens using practical definitions of a severe epidemic
Forecasting whether or not initial reports of disease will be followed by a severe epidemic is an important component of disease management. Standard epidemic risk estimates involve assuming that infections occur according to a branching process and correspond to the probability that the outbreak pe...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Formato: | Journal article |
| Idioma: | English |
| Publicado em: |
Royal Society
2020
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