Will an outbreak exceed available resources for control? Estimating the risk from invading pathogens using practical definitions of a severe epidemic

Forecasting whether or not initial reports of disease will be followed by a severe epidemic is an important component of disease management. Standard epidemic risk estimates involve assuming that infections occur according to a branching process and correspond to the probability that the outbreak pe...

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Hlavní autoři: Thompson, RN, Gilligan, CA, Cunniffe, NJ
Médium: Journal article
Jazyk:English
Vydáno: Royal Society 2020