The WHO guideline on drugs to prevent COVID-19: small numbers- big conclusions

The World Health Organization living guideline on drugs to prevent COVID-19 has recently advised that ongoing trials evaluating hydroxychloroquine in chemoprophylaxis should stop. The WHO guideline cites “high certainty” evidence from randomised controlled trials (RCTs) that hydroxychloroquine proph...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Schilling, WHK, Callery, JJ, Chandna, A, Hamers, RL, Watson, J, White, NJ
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: F1000Research 2021
_version_ 1826310827668406272
author Schilling, WHK
Callery, JJ
Chandna, A
Hamers, RL
Watson, J
White, NJ
author_facet Schilling, WHK
Callery, JJ
Chandna, A
Hamers, RL
Watson, J
White, NJ
author_sort Schilling, WHK
collection OXFORD
description The World Health Organization living guideline on drugs to prevent COVID-19 has recently advised that ongoing trials evaluating hydroxychloroquine in chemoprophylaxis should stop. The WHO guideline cites “high certainty” evidence from randomised controlled trials (RCTs) that hydroxychloroquine prophylaxis does not reduce mortality and does not reduce hospital admission, and “moderate certainty” evidence of poor tolerability because of a significantly increased rate of adverse events leading to drug discontinuation. Yet there is no such evidence. In the three pre-exposure chemoprophylaxis RCTs evaluated in the guideline there were no deaths and only two COVID-19-related hospital admissions, and there was a mistake in the analysis of the number of discontinuations (after correction there is no longer a statistically significant difference between those taking the drug and the controls). Guidelines on the prevention and treatment of COVID-19 should be based on sufficient verified evidence, understanding of the disease process, sound statistical analysis and interpretation, and an appreciation of global needs.
first_indexed 2024-03-07T07:59:18Z
format Journal article
id oxford-uuid:9cc4240a-eb76-40b4-abe1-43bf93d2946c
institution University of Oxford
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-07T07:59:18Z
publishDate 2021
publisher F1000Research
record_format dspace
spelling oxford-uuid:9cc4240a-eb76-40b4-abe1-43bf93d2946c2023-09-06T17:19:11ZThe WHO guideline on drugs to prevent COVID-19: small numbers- big conclusionsJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:9cc4240a-eb76-40b4-abe1-43bf93d2946cEnglishSymplectic ElementsF1000Research2021Schilling, WHKCallery, JJChandna, AHamers, RLWatson, JWhite, NJThe World Health Organization living guideline on drugs to prevent COVID-19 has recently advised that ongoing trials evaluating hydroxychloroquine in chemoprophylaxis should stop. The WHO guideline cites “high certainty” evidence from randomised controlled trials (RCTs) that hydroxychloroquine prophylaxis does not reduce mortality and does not reduce hospital admission, and “moderate certainty” evidence of poor tolerability because of a significantly increased rate of adverse events leading to drug discontinuation. Yet there is no such evidence. In the three pre-exposure chemoprophylaxis RCTs evaluated in the guideline there were no deaths and only two COVID-19-related hospital admissions, and there was a mistake in the analysis of the number of discontinuations (after correction there is no longer a statistically significant difference between those taking the drug and the controls). Guidelines on the prevention and treatment of COVID-19 should be based on sufficient verified evidence, understanding of the disease process, sound statistical analysis and interpretation, and an appreciation of global needs.
spellingShingle Schilling, WHK
Callery, JJ
Chandna, A
Hamers, RL
Watson, J
White, NJ
The WHO guideline on drugs to prevent COVID-19: small numbers- big conclusions
title The WHO guideline on drugs to prevent COVID-19: small numbers- big conclusions
title_full The WHO guideline on drugs to prevent COVID-19: small numbers- big conclusions
title_fullStr The WHO guideline on drugs to prevent COVID-19: small numbers- big conclusions
title_full_unstemmed The WHO guideline on drugs to prevent COVID-19: small numbers- big conclusions
title_short The WHO guideline on drugs to prevent COVID-19: small numbers- big conclusions
title_sort who guideline on drugs to prevent covid 19 small numbers big conclusions
work_keys_str_mv AT schillingwhk thewhoguidelineondrugstopreventcovid19smallnumbersbigconclusions
AT calleryjj thewhoguidelineondrugstopreventcovid19smallnumbersbigconclusions
AT chandnaa thewhoguidelineondrugstopreventcovid19smallnumbersbigconclusions
AT hamersrl thewhoguidelineondrugstopreventcovid19smallnumbersbigconclusions
AT watsonj thewhoguidelineondrugstopreventcovid19smallnumbersbigconclusions
AT whitenj thewhoguidelineondrugstopreventcovid19smallnumbersbigconclusions
AT schillingwhk whoguidelineondrugstopreventcovid19smallnumbersbigconclusions
AT calleryjj whoguidelineondrugstopreventcovid19smallnumbersbigconclusions
AT chandnaa whoguidelineondrugstopreventcovid19smallnumbersbigconclusions
AT hamersrl whoguidelineondrugstopreventcovid19smallnumbersbigconclusions
AT watsonj whoguidelineondrugstopreventcovid19smallnumbersbigconclusions
AT whitenj whoguidelineondrugstopreventcovid19smallnumbersbigconclusions