Spatial heterogeneity of climate change as an experiential basis for skepticism
We postulate that skepticism about climate change is partially caused by the spatial heterogeneity of climate change, which exposes experiential learners to climate heuristics that differ from the global average. This hypothesis is tested by formalizing an index that measures local changes in climat...
| Главные авторы: | , , , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Формат: | Journal article |
| Язык: | English |
| Опубликовано: |
National Academy of Sciences
2016
|
| _version_ | 1826287937840480256 |
|---|---|
| author | Kaufmann, R Mann, M Gopal, S Liederman, J Howe, P Pretis, F Tang, X Gilmore, M |
| author_facet | Kaufmann, R Mann, M Gopal, S Liederman, J Howe, P Pretis, F Tang, X Gilmore, M |
| author_sort | Kaufmann, R |
| collection | OXFORD |
| description | We postulate that skepticism about climate change is partially caused by the spatial heterogeneity of climate change, which exposes experiential learners to climate heuristics that differ from the global average. This hypothesis is tested by formalizing an index that measures local changes in climate using station data and comparing this index with survey-based model estimates of county-level opinion about whether global warming is happening. Results indicate that more stations exhibit cooling and warming than predicted by random chance and that spatial variations in these changes can account for spatial variations in the percentage of the population that believes that "global warming is happening." This effect is diminished in areas that have experienced more record low temperatures than record highs since 2005. Together, these results suggest that skepticism about climate change is driven partially by personal experiences; an accurate heuristic for local changes in climate identifies obstacles to communicating ongoing changes in climate to the public and how these communications might be improved. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-07T02:06:10Z |
| format | Journal article |
| id | oxford-uuid:9f12b8b2-ae9a-4927-a9a0-1b6c11574ab3 |
| institution | University of Oxford |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-07T02:06:10Z |
| publishDate | 2016 |
| publisher | National Academy of Sciences |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oxford-uuid:9f12b8b2-ae9a-4927-a9a0-1b6c11574ab32022-03-27T00:54:44ZSpatial heterogeneity of climate change as an experiential basis for skepticismJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:9f12b8b2-ae9a-4927-a9a0-1b6c11574ab3EnglishSymplectic Elements at OxfordNational Academy of Sciences2016Kaufmann, RMann, MGopal, SLiederman, JHowe, PPretis, FTang, XGilmore, MWe postulate that skepticism about climate change is partially caused by the spatial heterogeneity of climate change, which exposes experiential learners to climate heuristics that differ from the global average. This hypothesis is tested by formalizing an index that measures local changes in climate using station data and comparing this index with survey-based model estimates of county-level opinion about whether global warming is happening. Results indicate that more stations exhibit cooling and warming than predicted by random chance and that spatial variations in these changes can account for spatial variations in the percentage of the population that believes that "global warming is happening." This effect is diminished in areas that have experienced more record low temperatures than record highs since 2005. Together, these results suggest that skepticism about climate change is driven partially by personal experiences; an accurate heuristic for local changes in climate identifies obstacles to communicating ongoing changes in climate to the public and how these communications might be improved. |
| spellingShingle | Kaufmann, R Mann, M Gopal, S Liederman, J Howe, P Pretis, F Tang, X Gilmore, M Spatial heterogeneity of climate change as an experiential basis for skepticism |
| title | Spatial heterogeneity of climate change as an experiential basis for skepticism |
| title_full | Spatial heterogeneity of climate change as an experiential basis for skepticism |
| title_fullStr | Spatial heterogeneity of climate change as an experiential basis for skepticism |
| title_full_unstemmed | Spatial heterogeneity of climate change as an experiential basis for skepticism |
| title_short | Spatial heterogeneity of climate change as an experiential basis for skepticism |
| title_sort | spatial heterogeneity of climate change as an experiential basis for skepticism |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT kaufmannr spatialheterogeneityofclimatechangeasanexperientialbasisforskepticism AT mannm spatialheterogeneityofclimatechangeasanexperientialbasisforskepticism AT gopals spatialheterogeneityofclimatechangeasanexperientialbasisforskepticism AT liedermanj spatialheterogeneityofclimatechangeasanexperientialbasisforskepticism AT howep spatialheterogeneityofclimatechangeasanexperientialbasisforskepticism AT pretisf spatialheterogeneityofclimatechangeasanexperientialbasisforskepticism AT tangx spatialheterogeneityofclimatechangeasanexperientialbasisforskepticism AT gilmorem spatialheterogeneityofclimatechangeasanexperientialbasisforskepticism |