Disentangling the evolutionary drivers of social complexity: a comprehensive test of hypotheses

During the Holocene, the scale and complexity of human societies increased markedly. Generations of scholars have proposed different theories explaining this expansion, which range from broadly functionalist explanations, focusing on the provision of public goods, to conflict theories, emphasizing t...

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Main Authors: Turchin, P, Whitehouse, H, Gavrilets, S, Hoyer, D, François, P, Bennett, BS, Benam, M
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: American Association for the Advancement of Science 2022
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author Turchin, P
Whitehouse, H
Gavrilets, S
Hoyer, D
François, P
Bennett, BS
Benam, M
author_facet Turchin, P
Whitehouse, H
Gavrilets, S
Hoyer, D
François, P
Bennett, BS
Benam, M
author_sort Turchin, P
collection OXFORD
description During the Holocene, the scale and complexity of human societies increased markedly. Generations of scholars have proposed different theories explaining this expansion, which range from broadly functionalist explanations, focusing on the provision of public goods, to conflict theories, emphasizing the role of class struggle or warfare. To quantitatively test these theories, we develop a general dynamical model based on the theoretical framework of cultural macroevolution. Using this model and Seshat: Global History Databank, we test 17 potential predictor variables proxying mechanisms suggested by major theories of sociopolitical complexity (and >100,000 combinations of these predictors). The best-supported model indicates a strong causal role played by a combination of increasing agricultural productivity and invention/adoption of military technologies (most notably, iron weapons and cavalry in the first millennium BCE).
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spelling oxford-uuid:a06cf552-439b-4891-afbd-1f13ec1ed21c2022-07-11T09:42:11ZDisentangling the evolutionary drivers of social complexity: a comprehensive test of hypothesesJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:a06cf552-439b-4891-afbd-1f13ec1ed21cEnglishSymplectic ElementsAmerican Association for the Advancement of Science2022Turchin, PWhitehouse, HGavrilets, SHoyer, DFrançois, PBennett, BSBenam, MDuring the Holocene, the scale and complexity of human societies increased markedly. Generations of scholars have proposed different theories explaining this expansion, which range from broadly functionalist explanations, focusing on the provision of public goods, to conflict theories, emphasizing the role of class struggle or warfare. To quantitatively test these theories, we develop a general dynamical model based on the theoretical framework of cultural macroevolution. Using this model and Seshat: Global History Databank, we test 17 potential predictor variables proxying mechanisms suggested by major theories of sociopolitical complexity (and >100,000 combinations of these predictors). The best-supported model indicates a strong causal role played by a combination of increasing agricultural productivity and invention/adoption of military technologies (most notably, iron weapons and cavalry in the first millennium BCE).
spellingShingle Turchin, P
Whitehouse, H
Gavrilets, S
Hoyer, D
François, P
Bennett, BS
Benam, M
Disentangling the evolutionary drivers of social complexity: a comprehensive test of hypotheses
title Disentangling the evolutionary drivers of social complexity: a comprehensive test of hypotheses
title_full Disentangling the evolutionary drivers of social complexity: a comprehensive test of hypotheses
title_fullStr Disentangling the evolutionary drivers of social complexity: a comprehensive test of hypotheses
title_full_unstemmed Disentangling the evolutionary drivers of social complexity: a comprehensive test of hypotheses
title_short Disentangling the evolutionary drivers of social complexity: a comprehensive test of hypotheses
title_sort disentangling the evolutionary drivers of social complexity a comprehensive test of hypotheses
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