Prediction of childhood obesity by infancy weight gain: an individual-level meta-analysis.

To assess the predictive ability of infant weight gain on subsequent obesity we performed a meta-analysis of individual-level data on 47,661 participants from 10 cohort studies from the UK, France, Finland, Sweden, the US and Seychelles. For each individual, weight SD scores at birth and age 1 year...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Druet, C, Stettler, N, Sharp, S, Simmons, R, Cooper, C, Smith, G, Ekelund, U, Lévy-Marchal, C, Jarvelin, MR, Kuh, D, Ong, K
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: 2012
_version_ 1826288289386070016
author Druet, C
Stettler, N
Sharp, S
Simmons, R
Cooper, C
Smith, G
Ekelund, U
Lévy-Marchal, C
Jarvelin, MR
Kuh, D
Ong, K
author_facet Druet, C
Stettler, N
Sharp, S
Simmons, R
Cooper, C
Smith, G
Ekelund, U
Lévy-Marchal, C
Jarvelin, MR
Kuh, D
Ong, K
author_sort Druet, C
collection OXFORD
description To assess the predictive ability of infant weight gain on subsequent obesity we performed a meta-analysis of individual-level data on 47,661 participants from 10 cohort studies from the UK, France, Finland, Sweden, the US and Seychelles. For each individual, weight SD scores at birth and age 1 year were calculated using the same external reference (British 1990). Childhood obesity was defined by International Obesity Task Force criteria. Each +1 unit increase in weight SD scores between 0 and 1 year conferred a twofold higher risk of childhood obesity (odds ratio = 1.97 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.83, 2.12]), and a 23% higher risk of adult obesity (odds ratio = 1.23 [1.16, 1.30]), adjusted for sex, age and birthweight. There was little heterogeneity between studies. A risk score for childhood obesity comprising weight gain 0-1 year, mother's body mass index, birthweight and sex was generated in a random 50% selection of individuals from general population cohorts with available information (n = 8236); this score showed moderate predictive ability in the remaining 50% sample (area under receiving operating curve = 77% [95% CI 74, 80%]). A separate risk score for childhood overweight showed similar predictive ability (area under receiving operating curve = 76% [73, 79%]). In conclusion, infant weight gain showed a consistent positive association with subsequent obesity. A risk score combining birthweight and infant weight gain (or simply infant weight), together with mother's body mass index and sex may allow early stratification of infants at risk of childhood obesity.
first_indexed 2024-03-07T02:11:28Z
format Journal article
id oxford-uuid:a0cbf642-ea7b-424f-a7da-7ec10e07f2ac
institution University of Oxford
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-07T02:11:28Z
publishDate 2012
record_format dspace
spelling oxford-uuid:a0cbf642-ea7b-424f-a7da-7ec10e07f2ac2022-03-27T02:08:08ZPrediction of childhood obesity by infancy weight gain: an individual-level meta-analysis.Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:a0cbf642-ea7b-424f-a7da-7ec10e07f2acEnglishSymplectic Elements at Oxford2012Druet, CStettler, NSharp, SSimmons, RCooper, CSmith, GEkelund, ULévy-Marchal, CJarvelin, MRKuh, DOng, KTo assess the predictive ability of infant weight gain on subsequent obesity we performed a meta-analysis of individual-level data on 47,661 participants from 10 cohort studies from the UK, France, Finland, Sweden, the US and Seychelles. For each individual, weight SD scores at birth and age 1 year were calculated using the same external reference (British 1990). Childhood obesity was defined by International Obesity Task Force criteria. Each +1 unit increase in weight SD scores between 0 and 1 year conferred a twofold higher risk of childhood obesity (odds ratio = 1.97 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.83, 2.12]), and a 23% higher risk of adult obesity (odds ratio = 1.23 [1.16, 1.30]), adjusted for sex, age and birthweight. There was little heterogeneity between studies. A risk score for childhood obesity comprising weight gain 0-1 year, mother's body mass index, birthweight and sex was generated in a random 50% selection of individuals from general population cohorts with available information (n = 8236); this score showed moderate predictive ability in the remaining 50% sample (area under receiving operating curve = 77% [95% CI 74, 80%]). A separate risk score for childhood overweight showed similar predictive ability (area under receiving operating curve = 76% [73, 79%]). In conclusion, infant weight gain showed a consistent positive association with subsequent obesity. A risk score combining birthweight and infant weight gain (or simply infant weight), together with mother's body mass index and sex may allow early stratification of infants at risk of childhood obesity.
spellingShingle Druet, C
Stettler, N
Sharp, S
Simmons, R
Cooper, C
Smith, G
Ekelund, U
Lévy-Marchal, C
Jarvelin, MR
Kuh, D
Ong, K
Prediction of childhood obesity by infancy weight gain: an individual-level meta-analysis.
title Prediction of childhood obesity by infancy weight gain: an individual-level meta-analysis.
title_full Prediction of childhood obesity by infancy weight gain: an individual-level meta-analysis.
title_fullStr Prediction of childhood obesity by infancy weight gain: an individual-level meta-analysis.
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of childhood obesity by infancy weight gain: an individual-level meta-analysis.
title_short Prediction of childhood obesity by infancy weight gain: an individual-level meta-analysis.
title_sort prediction of childhood obesity by infancy weight gain an individual level meta analysis
work_keys_str_mv AT druetc predictionofchildhoodobesitybyinfancyweightgainanindividuallevelmetaanalysis
AT stettlern predictionofchildhoodobesitybyinfancyweightgainanindividuallevelmetaanalysis
AT sharps predictionofchildhoodobesitybyinfancyweightgainanindividuallevelmetaanalysis
AT simmonsr predictionofchildhoodobesitybyinfancyweightgainanindividuallevelmetaanalysis
AT cooperc predictionofchildhoodobesitybyinfancyweightgainanindividuallevelmetaanalysis
AT smithg predictionofchildhoodobesitybyinfancyweightgainanindividuallevelmetaanalysis
AT ekelundu predictionofchildhoodobesitybyinfancyweightgainanindividuallevelmetaanalysis
AT levymarchalc predictionofchildhoodobesitybyinfancyweightgainanindividuallevelmetaanalysis
AT jarvelinmr predictionofchildhoodobesitybyinfancyweightgainanindividuallevelmetaanalysis
AT kuhd predictionofchildhoodobesitybyinfancyweightgainanindividuallevelmetaanalysis
AT ongk predictionofchildhoodobesitybyinfancyweightgainanindividuallevelmetaanalysis