A kernel test for causal association via noise contrastive backdoor adjustment

Causal inference grows increasingly complex as the dimension of confounders increases. Given treatments X𝑋, outcomes Y𝑌, and measured confounders Z𝑍, we develop a non-parametric method to test the do-null hypothesis that, after an intervention on X𝑋, there is no marginal dependence of Y𝑌 on X𝑋, agai...

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Main Authors: Hu, R, Sejdinovic, D, Evans, RJ
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Journal of Machine Learning Research 2024
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author Hu, R
Sejdinovic, D
Evans, RJ
author_facet Hu, R
Sejdinovic, D
Evans, RJ
author_sort Hu, R
collection OXFORD
description Causal inference grows increasingly complex as the dimension of confounders increases. Given treatments X𝑋, outcomes Y𝑌, and measured confounders Z𝑍, we develop a non-parametric method to test the do-null hypothesis that, after an intervention on X𝑋, there is no marginal dependence of Y𝑌 on X𝑋, against the general alternative. Building on the Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion (HSIC) for marginal independence testing, we propose backdoor-HSIC (bd-HSIC), an importance weighted HSIC which combines density ratio estimation with kernel methods. Experiments on simulated data verify the correct size and that the estimator has power for both binary and continuous treatments under a large number of confounding variables. Additionally, we establish convergence properties of the estimators of covariance operators used in bd-HSIC. We investigate the advantages and disadvantages of bd-HSIC against parametric tests as well as the importance of using the do-null testing in contrast to marginal or conditional independence testing. A complete implementation can be found at https://github.com/MrHuff/kgformula.
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spelling oxford-uuid:a0e08ac1-d7f8-4d3f-98b8-254a50157dc42024-08-19T15:19:40ZA kernel test for causal association via noise contrastive backdoor adjustmentJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:a0e08ac1-d7f8-4d3f-98b8-254a50157dc4EnglishSymplectic ElementsJournal of Machine Learning Research2024Hu, RSejdinovic, DEvans, RJCausal inference grows increasingly complex as the dimension of confounders increases. Given treatments X𝑋, outcomes Y𝑌, and measured confounders Z𝑍, we develop a non-parametric method to test the do-null hypothesis that, after an intervention on X𝑋, there is no marginal dependence of Y𝑌 on X𝑋, against the general alternative. Building on the Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion (HSIC) for marginal independence testing, we propose backdoor-HSIC (bd-HSIC), an importance weighted HSIC which combines density ratio estimation with kernel methods. Experiments on simulated data verify the correct size and that the estimator has power for both binary and continuous treatments under a large number of confounding variables. Additionally, we establish convergence properties of the estimators of covariance operators used in bd-HSIC. We investigate the advantages and disadvantages of bd-HSIC against parametric tests as well as the importance of using the do-null testing in contrast to marginal or conditional independence testing. A complete implementation can be found at https://github.com/MrHuff/kgformula.
spellingShingle Hu, R
Sejdinovic, D
Evans, RJ
A kernel test for causal association via noise contrastive backdoor adjustment
title A kernel test for causal association via noise contrastive backdoor adjustment
title_full A kernel test for causal association via noise contrastive backdoor adjustment
title_fullStr A kernel test for causal association via noise contrastive backdoor adjustment
title_full_unstemmed A kernel test for causal association via noise contrastive backdoor adjustment
title_short A kernel test for causal association via noise contrastive backdoor adjustment
title_sort kernel test for causal association via noise contrastive backdoor adjustment
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