On Winning Forecasting Competitions in Economics.

On Winning Forecasting Competitions in Economics.

To explain which methods might win forecasting competitions on economic time series, we consider forecasting in an evolving economy subject to structural breaks, using mis-specified, data-based models. "Causal" models need not win when facing determinist...

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Bibliografiske detaljer
Main Authors:	Clements, M, Hendry, D
Format:	Journal article
Sprog:	English
Udgivet:	Springer-Verlag 1999

Lignende værker

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Can Econometrics Improve Economic Forecasting?
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Economic Forecasting in the Face of Structural Breaks.
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Economic Forecasting: Some Lessons from Recent Research.
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Udgivet: (2001)

Economic forecasting: some lessons from recent research
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The spirit of competition: to win or not to win.
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Udgivet: (2013-01-01)

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UTM wins business competition
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Winning by design : architectural competitions /
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Evaluating a model by forecast performance
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Forecasting Principles from Experience with Forecasting Competitions
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On the Limitations of Comparing Mean Square Forecast Errors.
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