On Winning Forecasting Competitions in Economics.
To explain which methods might win forecasting competitions on economic time series, we consider forecasting in an evolving economy subject to structural breaks, using mis-specified, data-based models. "Causal" models need not win when facing determinist...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| 格式: | Journal article |
| 語言: | English |
| 出版: |
Springer-Verlag
1999
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