Segmentation algorithm for non-stationary compound Poisson processes: With an application to inventory time series of market members in a financial market

We introduce an algorithm for the segmentation of a class of regime switching processes. The segmentation algorithm is a non parametric statistical method able to identify the regimes (patches) of a time series. The process is composed of consecutive patches of variable length. In each patch the pro...

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Main Authors: Tóth, B, Lillo, F, Farmer, J
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: 2010
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author Tóth, B
Lillo, F
Farmer, J
author_facet Tóth, B
Lillo, F
Farmer, J
author_sort Tóth, B
collection OXFORD
description We introduce an algorithm for the segmentation of a class of regime switching processes. The segmentation algorithm is a non parametric statistical method able to identify the regimes (patches) of a time series. The process is composed of consecutive patches of variable length. In each patch the process is described by a stationary compound Poisson process, i.e. a Poisson process where each count is associated with a fluctuating signal. The parameters of the process are different in each patch and therefore the time series is non-stationary. Our method is a generalization of the algorithm introduced by Bernaola-Galván, et al. [Phys. Rev. Lett. 87, 168105 (2001)]. We show that the new algorithm outperforms the original one for regime switching models of compound Poisson processes. As an application we use the algorithm to segment the time series of the inventory of market members of the London Stock Exchange and we observe that our method finds almost three times more patches than the original one. © 2010 EDP Sciences, Società Italiana di Fisica, Springer-Verlag.
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spelling oxford-uuid:a544af1d-9c2b-4f6b-acda-e204f41444c02022-03-27T02:39:20ZSegmentation algorithm for non-stationary compound Poisson processes: With an application to inventory time series of market members in a financial marketJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:a544af1d-9c2b-4f6b-acda-e204f41444c0EnglishSymplectic Elements at Oxford2010Tóth, BLillo, FFarmer, JWe introduce an algorithm for the segmentation of a class of regime switching processes. The segmentation algorithm is a non parametric statistical method able to identify the regimes (patches) of a time series. The process is composed of consecutive patches of variable length. In each patch the process is described by a stationary compound Poisson process, i.e. a Poisson process where each count is associated with a fluctuating signal. The parameters of the process are different in each patch and therefore the time series is non-stationary. Our method is a generalization of the algorithm introduced by Bernaola-Galván, et al. [Phys. Rev. Lett. 87, 168105 (2001)]. We show that the new algorithm outperforms the original one for regime switching models of compound Poisson processes. As an application we use the algorithm to segment the time series of the inventory of market members of the London Stock Exchange and we observe that our method finds almost three times more patches than the original one. © 2010 EDP Sciences, Società Italiana di Fisica, Springer-Verlag.
spellingShingle Tóth, B
Lillo, F
Farmer, J
Segmentation algorithm for non-stationary compound Poisson processes: With an application to inventory time series of market members in a financial market
title Segmentation algorithm for non-stationary compound Poisson processes: With an application to inventory time series of market members in a financial market
title_full Segmentation algorithm for non-stationary compound Poisson processes: With an application to inventory time series of market members in a financial market
title_fullStr Segmentation algorithm for non-stationary compound Poisson processes: With an application to inventory time series of market members in a financial market
title_full_unstemmed Segmentation algorithm for non-stationary compound Poisson processes: With an application to inventory time series of market members in a financial market
title_short Segmentation algorithm for non-stationary compound Poisson processes: With an application to inventory time series of market members in a financial market
title_sort segmentation algorithm for non stationary compound poisson processes with an application to inventory time series of market members in a financial market
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