Holding steady: little change in intensity or timing of bird migration over the Gulf of Mexico

Quantifying the timing and intensity of migratory movements is imperative for understanding impacts of changing landscapes and climates on migratory bird populations. Billions of birds migrate in the Western Hemisphere, but accurately estimating the population size of one migratory species, let alon...

Volledige beschrijving

Bibliografische gegevens
Hoofdauteurs: Horton, K, Van Doren, B, La Sorte, F, Cohen, E, Clipp, H, Buler, J, Fink, D, Kelly, J, Farnsworth, A
Formaat: Journal article
Taal:English
Gepubliceerd in: Wiley 2019
_version_ 1826289216247562240
author Horton, K
Van Doren, B
La Sorte, F
Cohen, E
Clipp, H
Buler, J
Fink, D
Kelly, J
Farnsworth, A
author_facet Horton, K
Van Doren, B
La Sorte, F
Cohen, E
Clipp, H
Buler, J
Fink, D
Kelly, J
Farnsworth, A
author_sort Horton, K
collection OXFORD
description Quantifying the timing and intensity of migratory movements is imperative for understanding impacts of changing landscapes and climates on migratory bird populations. Billions of birds migrate in the Western Hemisphere, but accurately estimating the population size of one migratory species, let alone hundreds, presents numerous obstacles. Here, we quantify the timing, intensity, and distribution of bird migration through one of the largest migration corridors in the Western Hemisphere, the Gulf of Mexico (the Gulf). We further assess whether there have been changes in migration timing or intensity through the Gulf. To achieve this, we integrate citizen science (eBird) observations with 21 years of weather surveillance radar data (1995-2015). We predicted no change in migration timing and a decline in migration intensity across the time series. We estimate that an average of 2.1 billion birds pass through this region each spring en route to Nearctic breeding grounds. Annually, half of these individuals pass through the region in just 18 days, between April 19 and May 7. The western region of the Gulf showed a mean rate of passage 5.4 times higher than the central and eastern regions. We did not detect an overall change in the annual numbers of migrants (2007-2015) or the annual timing of peak migration (1995-2015). However, we found that the earliest seasonal movements through the region occurred significantly earlier over time (1.6 days decade-1 ). Additionally, body mass and migration distance explained the magnitude of phenological changes, with the most rapid advances occurring with an assemblage of larger-bodied shorter-distance migrants. Our results provide baseline information that can be used to advance our understanding of the developing implications of climate change, urbanization, and energy development for migratory bird populations in North America.
first_indexed 2024-03-07T02:25:30Z
format Journal article
id oxford-uuid:a56f9784-2f9f-4b1e-9257-09247b386390
institution University of Oxford
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-07T02:25:30Z
publishDate 2019
publisher Wiley
record_format dspace
spelling oxford-uuid:a56f9784-2f9f-4b1e-9257-09247b3863902022-03-27T02:40:40ZHolding steady: little change in intensity or timing of bird migration over the Gulf of MexicoJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:a56f9784-2f9f-4b1e-9257-09247b386390EnglishSymplectic Elements at OxfordWiley2019Horton, KVan Doren, BLa Sorte, FCohen, EClipp, HBuler, JFink, DKelly, JFarnsworth, AQuantifying the timing and intensity of migratory movements is imperative for understanding impacts of changing landscapes and climates on migratory bird populations. Billions of birds migrate in the Western Hemisphere, but accurately estimating the population size of one migratory species, let alone hundreds, presents numerous obstacles. Here, we quantify the timing, intensity, and distribution of bird migration through one of the largest migration corridors in the Western Hemisphere, the Gulf of Mexico (the Gulf). We further assess whether there have been changes in migration timing or intensity through the Gulf. To achieve this, we integrate citizen science (eBird) observations with 21 years of weather surveillance radar data (1995-2015). We predicted no change in migration timing and a decline in migration intensity across the time series. We estimate that an average of 2.1 billion birds pass through this region each spring en route to Nearctic breeding grounds. Annually, half of these individuals pass through the region in just 18 days, between April 19 and May 7. The western region of the Gulf showed a mean rate of passage 5.4 times higher than the central and eastern regions. We did not detect an overall change in the annual numbers of migrants (2007-2015) or the annual timing of peak migration (1995-2015). However, we found that the earliest seasonal movements through the region occurred significantly earlier over time (1.6 days decade-1 ). Additionally, body mass and migration distance explained the magnitude of phenological changes, with the most rapid advances occurring with an assemblage of larger-bodied shorter-distance migrants. Our results provide baseline information that can be used to advance our understanding of the developing implications of climate change, urbanization, and energy development for migratory bird populations in North America.
spellingShingle Horton, K
Van Doren, B
La Sorte, F
Cohen, E
Clipp, H
Buler, J
Fink, D
Kelly, J
Farnsworth, A
Holding steady: little change in intensity or timing of bird migration over the Gulf of Mexico
title Holding steady: little change in intensity or timing of bird migration over the Gulf of Mexico
title_full Holding steady: little change in intensity or timing of bird migration over the Gulf of Mexico
title_fullStr Holding steady: little change in intensity or timing of bird migration over the Gulf of Mexico
title_full_unstemmed Holding steady: little change in intensity or timing of bird migration over the Gulf of Mexico
title_short Holding steady: little change in intensity or timing of bird migration over the Gulf of Mexico
title_sort holding steady little change in intensity or timing of bird migration over the gulf of mexico
work_keys_str_mv AT hortonk holdingsteadylittlechangeinintensityortimingofbirdmigrationoverthegulfofmexico
AT vandorenb holdingsteadylittlechangeinintensityortimingofbirdmigrationoverthegulfofmexico
AT lasortef holdingsteadylittlechangeinintensityortimingofbirdmigrationoverthegulfofmexico
AT cohene holdingsteadylittlechangeinintensityortimingofbirdmigrationoverthegulfofmexico
AT clipph holdingsteadylittlechangeinintensityortimingofbirdmigrationoverthegulfofmexico
AT bulerj holdingsteadylittlechangeinintensityortimingofbirdmigrationoverthegulfofmexico
AT finkd holdingsteadylittlechangeinintensityortimingofbirdmigrationoverthegulfofmexico
AT kellyj holdingsteadylittlechangeinintensityortimingofbirdmigrationoverthegulfofmexico
AT farnswortha holdingsteadylittlechangeinintensityortimingofbirdmigrationoverthegulfofmexico