Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: the EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines

The importance of infectious disease epidemic forecasting and prediction research is underscored by decades of communicable disease outbreaks, including COVID-19. Unlike other fields of medical research, such as clinical trials and systematic reviews, no reporting guidelines exist for reporting epid...

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Main Authors: Pollett, S, Johansson, MA, Reich, NG, Brett-Major, D, Del Valle, SY, Venkatramanan, S, Lowe, R, Porco, T, Berry, IM, Deshpande, A, Kraemer, MUG, Blazes, DL, Pan-Ngum, W, Vespigiani, A, Mate, SE, Silal, SP, Kandula, S, Sippy, R, Quandelacy, TM, Morgan, JJ, Ball, J, Morton, LC, Althouse, BM, Pavlin, J, van Panhuis, W, Riley, S, Biggerstaff, M, Viboud, C, Brady, O, Rivers, C
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science 2021
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author Pollett, S
Johansson, MA
Reich, NG
Brett-Major, D
Del Valle, SY
Venkatramanan, S
Lowe, R
Porco, T
Berry, IM
Deshpande, A
Kraemer, MUG
Blazes, DL
Pan-Ngum, W
Vespigiani, A
Mate, SE
Silal, SP
Kandula, S
Sippy, R
Quandelacy, TM
Morgan, JJ
Ball, J
Morton, LC
Althouse, BM
Pavlin, J
van Panhuis, W
Riley, S
Biggerstaff, M
Viboud, C
Brady, O
Rivers, C
author_facet Pollett, S
Johansson, MA
Reich, NG
Brett-Major, D
Del Valle, SY
Venkatramanan, S
Lowe, R
Porco, T
Berry, IM
Deshpande, A
Kraemer, MUG
Blazes, DL
Pan-Ngum, W
Vespigiani, A
Mate, SE
Silal, SP
Kandula, S
Sippy, R
Quandelacy, TM
Morgan, JJ
Ball, J
Morton, LC
Althouse, BM
Pavlin, J
van Panhuis, W
Riley, S
Biggerstaff, M
Viboud, C
Brady, O
Rivers, C
author_sort Pollett, S
collection OXFORD
description The importance of infectious disease epidemic forecasting and prediction research is underscored by decades of communicable disease outbreaks, including COVID-19. Unlike other fields of medical research, such as clinical trials and systematic reviews, no reporting guidelines exist for reporting epidemic forecasting and prediction research despite their utility. We therefore developed the EPIFORGE checklist, a guideline for standardized reporting of epidemic forecasting research. We developed this checklist using a best-practice process for development of reporting guidelines, involving a Delphi process and broad consultation with an international panel of infectious disease modelers and model end users. The objectives of these guidelines are to improve the consistency, reproducibility, comparability, and quality of epidemic forecasting reporting. The guidelines are not designed to advise scientists on how to perform epidemic forecasting and prediction research, but rather to serve as a standard for reporting critical methodological details of such studies. These guidelines have been submitted to the EQUATOR network, in addition to hosting by other dedicated webpages to facilitate feedback and journal endorsement.
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spelling oxford-uuid:a63f4692-51fb-40c0-8f57-aa3bb43a984a2022-03-27T02:45:59ZRecommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: the EPIFORGE 2020 guidelinesJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:a63f4692-51fb-40c0-8f57-aa3bb43a984aEnglishSymplectic ElementsPublic Library of Science2021Pollett, SJohansson, MAReich, NGBrett-Major, DDel Valle, SYVenkatramanan, SLowe, RPorco, TBerry, IMDeshpande, AKraemer, MUGBlazes, DLPan-Ngum, WVespigiani, AMate, SESilal, SPKandula, SSippy, RQuandelacy, TMMorgan, JJBall, JMorton, LCAlthouse, BMPavlin, Jvan Panhuis, WRiley, SBiggerstaff, MViboud, CBrady, ORivers, CThe importance of infectious disease epidemic forecasting and prediction research is underscored by decades of communicable disease outbreaks, including COVID-19. Unlike other fields of medical research, such as clinical trials and systematic reviews, no reporting guidelines exist for reporting epidemic forecasting and prediction research despite their utility. We therefore developed the EPIFORGE checklist, a guideline for standardized reporting of epidemic forecasting research. We developed this checklist using a best-practice process for development of reporting guidelines, involving a Delphi process and broad consultation with an international panel of infectious disease modelers and model end users. The objectives of these guidelines are to improve the consistency, reproducibility, comparability, and quality of epidemic forecasting reporting. The guidelines are not designed to advise scientists on how to perform epidemic forecasting and prediction research, but rather to serve as a standard for reporting critical methodological details of such studies. These guidelines have been submitted to the EQUATOR network, in addition to hosting by other dedicated webpages to facilitate feedback and journal endorsement.
spellingShingle Pollett, S
Johansson, MA
Reich, NG
Brett-Major, D
Del Valle, SY
Venkatramanan, S
Lowe, R
Porco, T
Berry, IM
Deshpande, A
Kraemer, MUG
Blazes, DL
Pan-Ngum, W
Vespigiani, A
Mate, SE
Silal, SP
Kandula, S
Sippy, R
Quandelacy, TM
Morgan, JJ
Ball, J
Morton, LC
Althouse, BM
Pavlin, J
van Panhuis, W
Riley, S
Biggerstaff, M
Viboud, C
Brady, O
Rivers, C
Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: the EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines
title Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: the EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines
title_full Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: the EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines
title_fullStr Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: the EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines
title_full_unstemmed Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: the EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines
title_short Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: the EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines
title_sort recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research the epiforge 2020 guidelines
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