Gravity without apologies: the science of elasticities, distance, and trade

Gravity as both fact and theory is one of the great success stories of recent research on international trade, and has featured prominently in the policy debate over Brexit. We first review the facts, noting the overwhelming evidence that trade tends to fall with distance. We then introduce some exp...

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Príomhchruthaitheoirí: Carrere, C, Mrázová, M, Neary, J
Formáid: Journal article
Teanga:English
Foilsithe / Cruthaithe: Oxford University Press 2020
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author Carrere, C
Mrázová, M
Neary, J
author_facet Carrere, C
Mrázová, M
Neary, J
author_sort Carrere, C
collection OXFORD
description Gravity as both fact and theory is one of the great success stories of recent research on international trade, and has featured prominently in the policy debate over Brexit. We first review the facts, noting the overwhelming evidence that trade tends to fall with distance. We then introduce some expository tools for understanding CES theories of gravity as a simple general-equilibrium system. Next, we point out some anomalies with the theory: mounting evidence against constant trade elasticities, and implausible predictions for bilateral trade balances. Finally, we sketch an approach based on subconvex gravity as a promising direction to resolving them.
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spelling oxford-uuid:a6bb46ab-a575-4d95-a7a3-0e0f2b19c71c2022-04-04T06:33:36ZGravity without apologies: the science of elasticities, distance, and tradeJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:a6bb46ab-a575-4d95-a7a3-0e0f2b19c71cEnglishSymplectic ElementsOxford University Press2020Carrere, CMrázová, MNeary, JGravity as both fact and theory is one of the great success stories of recent research on international trade, and has featured prominently in the policy debate over Brexit. We first review the facts, noting the overwhelming evidence that trade tends to fall with distance. We then introduce some expository tools for understanding CES theories of gravity as a simple general-equilibrium system. Next, we point out some anomalies with the theory: mounting evidence against constant trade elasticities, and implausible predictions for bilateral trade balances. Finally, we sketch an approach based on subconvex gravity as a promising direction to resolving them.
spellingShingle Carrere, C
Mrázová, M
Neary, J
Gravity without apologies: the science of elasticities, distance, and trade
title Gravity without apologies: the science of elasticities, distance, and trade
title_full Gravity without apologies: the science of elasticities, distance, and trade
title_fullStr Gravity without apologies: the science of elasticities, distance, and trade
title_full_unstemmed Gravity without apologies: the science of elasticities, distance, and trade
title_short Gravity without apologies: the science of elasticities, distance, and trade
title_sort gravity without apologies the science of elasticities distance and trade
work_keys_str_mv AT carrerec gravitywithoutapologiesthescienceofelasticitiesdistanceandtrade
AT mrazovam gravitywithoutapologiesthescienceofelasticitiesdistanceandtrade
AT nearyj gravitywithoutapologiesthescienceofelasticitiesdistanceandtrade