Detecting volcanic eruptions in temperature reconstructions by designed break-indicator saturation

We present a methodology for detecting structural breaks at any point in time-series regression models using an indicator saturation approach. Building on recent developments in econometric model selection for more variables than observations, we saturate a regression model with a full set of design...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Hendry, D, Schneider, L, Smerdon, J
Format: Working paper
Published: University of Oxford 2016