A real-time Global Warming Index.
We propose a simple real-time index of global human-induced warming and assess its robustness to uncertainties in climate forcing and short-term climate fluctuations. This index provides improved scientific context for temperature stabilisation targets and has the potential to decrease the volatilit...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Journal article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Nature Publishing Group
2017
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| _version_ | 1797087626570760192 |
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| author | Haustein, K Allen, M Forster, P Otto, F Mitchell, D Matthews, H Frame, D |
| author_facet | Haustein, K Allen, M Forster, P Otto, F Mitchell, D Matthews, H Frame, D |
| author_sort | Haustein, K |
| collection | OXFORD |
| description | We propose a simple real-time index of global human-induced warming and assess its robustness to uncertainties in climate forcing and short-term climate fluctuations. This index provides improved scientific context for temperature stabilisation targets and has the potential to decrease the volatility of climate policy. We quantify uncertainties arising from temperature observations, climate radiative forcings, internal variability and the model response. Our index and the associated rate of human-induced warming is compatible with a range of other more sophisticated methods to estimate the human contribution to observed global temperature change. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-07T02:38:20Z |
| format | Journal article |
| id | oxford-uuid:a990e2fe-a63f-4685-88f8-71107643d4a4 |
| institution | University of Oxford |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-07T02:38:20Z |
| publishDate | 2017 |
| publisher | Nature Publishing Group |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oxford-uuid:a990e2fe-a63f-4685-88f8-71107643d4a42022-03-27T03:09:18ZA real-time Global Warming Index.Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:a990e2fe-a63f-4685-88f8-71107643d4a4EnglishSymplectic Elements at OxfordNature Publishing Group2017Haustein, KAllen, MForster, POtto, FMitchell, DMatthews, HFrame, DWe propose a simple real-time index of global human-induced warming and assess its robustness to uncertainties in climate forcing and short-term climate fluctuations. This index provides improved scientific context for temperature stabilisation targets and has the potential to decrease the volatility of climate policy. We quantify uncertainties arising from temperature observations, climate radiative forcings, internal variability and the model response. Our index and the associated rate of human-induced warming is compatible with a range of other more sophisticated methods to estimate the human contribution to observed global temperature change. |
| spellingShingle | Haustein, K Allen, M Forster, P Otto, F Mitchell, D Matthews, H Frame, D A real-time Global Warming Index. |
| title | A real-time Global Warming Index. |
| title_full | A real-time Global Warming Index. |
| title_fullStr | A real-time Global Warming Index. |
| title_full_unstemmed | A real-time Global Warming Index. |
| title_short | A real-time Global Warming Index. |
| title_sort | real time global warming index |
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