Forecasting with equilibrium-correction models during structural breaks

When breaks occur, equilibrium-correction models (EqCMs) based on cointegration face forecasting problems. We investigate approaches to alleviate forecast failure following a location shift, including updating, intercept corrections, differencing, and estimating the future impact of an 'intern...

সম্পূর্ণ বিবরণ

গ্রন্থ-পঞ্জীর বিবরন
প্রধান লেখক: Castle, J, Hendry, D, Fawcett, N
বিন্যাস: Working paper
প্রকাশিত: University of Oxford 2008