Genome evolution and epidemiology of human pathogens

<p>Understanding the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases is important to well-informed public health policy, responsive infection control and individual patient management. The on-going revolution in whole-genome sequencing provides unprecedented resolution for detecting evidence of r...

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Main Author: Dearlove, BL
Other Authors: Wilson, DJ
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: 2013
Subjects:
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author Dearlove, BL
author2 Wilson, DJ
author_facet Wilson, DJ
Dearlove, BL
author_sort Dearlove, BL
collection OXFORD
description <p>Understanding the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases is important to well-informed public health policy, responsive infection control and individual patient management. The on-going revolution in whole-genome sequencing provides unprecedented resolution for detecting evidence of recent transmission and characterising population-level transmission dynamics. In this thesis, I develop and apply evolutionary approaches to investigating transmission, focusing on three globally important pathogens.</p> <p>Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a major cause of liver disease affecting 150 million people and killing 350,000 annually. I conducted a meta-analysis of twentieth-century HCV epidemics, finding that the age of the epidemic can be predicted by genetic diversity. Using the coalescent, I fitted classic susceptible-infected (SI), susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) and susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemiological models. Most epidemics showed signatures of SI dynamics, but three, from Argentina, Hong Kong and Thailand, revealed complex SIR dynamics.</p> <p>Norovirus is the leading viral cause of diarrhoea, estimated to cost the NHS around £115 million annually. I analysed whole norovirus genomes via a stochastic transmission model, finding that up to 86% of hospital infection was attributable to transmission from another patient in the hospital. In contrast, the rate of new introductions to hospital by infected patients was extremely low (&lt;0.0001%), underlining the importance of ward management during outbreaks.</p> <p><em>Campylobacter</em> is the most commonly identified cause of bacterial gastroenteritis worldwide. I developed a zoonotic transmission model based on phylogeography approaches to test whether three strains previously associated with multiple host species were in fact aggregates of strongly host-restricted sub-strains, or genuine generalists. Members of the same strain isolated from different host species were often more closely related than those isolated from the same host species. I estimated 419, 389 and 31 zoonotic transmissions in ST-21, ST-45 and ST-828 respectively, strongly supporting the hypothesis that these strains are adapted to a generalist lifestyle.</p>
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spelling oxford-uuid:af385d35-ca1a-4f4c-ae1a-0ad954cab9282024-02-14T11:10:30ZGenome evolution and epidemiology of human pathogensThesishttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_db06uuid:af385d35-ca1a-4f4c-ae1a-0ad954cab928EpidemiologyVirusesGenetics (medical sciences)Infectious diseasesEvolution (zoology)EnglishOxford University Research Archive - Valet2013Dearlove, BLWilson, DJDonnelly, PJ<p>Understanding the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases is important to well-informed public health policy, responsive infection control and individual patient management. The on-going revolution in whole-genome sequencing provides unprecedented resolution for detecting evidence of recent transmission and characterising population-level transmission dynamics. In this thesis, I develop and apply evolutionary approaches to investigating transmission, focusing on three globally important pathogens.</p> <p>Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a major cause of liver disease affecting 150 million people and killing 350,000 annually. I conducted a meta-analysis of twentieth-century HCV epidemics, finding that the age of the epidemic can be predicted by genetic diversity. Using the coalescent, I fitted classic susceptible-infected (SI), susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) and susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemiological models. Most epidemics showed signatures of SI dynamics, but three, from Argentina, Hong Kong and Thailand, revealed complex SIR dynamics.</p> <p>Norovirus is the leading viral cause of diarrhoea, estimated to cost the NHS around £115 million annually. I analysed whole norovirus genomes via a stochastic transmission model, finding that up to 86% of hospital infection was attributable to transmission from another patient in the hospital. In contrast, the rate of new introductions to hospital by infected patients was extremely low (&lt;0.0001%), underlining the importance of ward management during outbreaks.</p> <p><em>Campylobacter</em> is the most commonly identified cause of bacterial gastroenteritis worldwide. I developed a zoonotic transmission model based on phylogeography approaches to test whether three strains previously associated with multiple host species were in fact aggregates of strongly host-restricted sub-strains, or genuine generalists. Members of the same strain isolated from different host species were often more closely related than those isolated from the same host species. I estimated 419, 389 and 31 zoonotic transmissions in ST-21, ST-45 and ST-828 respectively, strongly supporting the hypothesis that these strains are adapted to a generalist lifestyle.</p>
spellingShingle Epidemiology
Viruses
Genetics (medical sciences)
Infectious diseases
Evolution (zoology)
Dearlove, BL
Genome evolution and epidemiology of human pathogens
title Genome evolution and epidemiology of human pathogens
title_full Genome evolution and epidemiology of human pathogens
title_fullStr Genome evolution and epidemiology of human pathogens
title_full_unstemmed Genome evolution and epidemiology of human pathogens
title_short Genome evolution and epidemiology of human pathogens
title_sort genome evolution and epidemiology of human pathogens
topic Epidemiology
Viruses
Genetics (medical sciences)
Infectious diseases
Evolution (zoology)
work_keys_str_mv AT dearlovebl genomeevolutionandepidemiologyofhumanpathogens