Two blades of grass: the impact of the green revolution

We estimate the impact of the Green Revolution in the developing world by exploiting exogenous heterogeneity in the timing and extent of the benefits derived from high-yielding crop varieties (HYVs). We find that HYVs increased yields by 44% between 1965 and 2010, with further gains coming through r...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Gollin, D, Worm Hansen, C, Wingender, A
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: University of Chicago Press 2021
_version_ 1797106944847118336
author Gollin, D
Worm Hansen, C
Wingender, A
author_facet Gollin, D
Worm Hansen, C
Wingender, A
author_sort Gollin, D
collection OXFORD
description We estimate the impact of the Green Revolution in the developing world by exploiting exogenous heterogeneity in the timing and extent of the benefits derived from high-yielding crop varieties (HYVs). We find that HYVs increased yields by 44% between 1965 and 2010, with further gains coming through reallocation of inputs. Higher yields increased income and reduced population growth. A 10-year delay of the Green Revolution would in 2010 have cost 17% of GDP (gross domestic product) per capita and added 223 million people to the developing-world population. The cumulative GDP loss over 45 years would have been US$83 trillion, corresponding to approximately one year of current global GDP.
first_indexed 2024-03-07T07:09:35Z
format Journal article
id oxford-uuid:af4be391-8c20-4517-b2f5-47b9bb1f6f2a
institution University of Oxford
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-07T07:09:35Z
publishDate 2021
publisher University of Chicago Press
record_format dspace
spelling oxford-uuid:af4be391-8c20-4517-b2f5-47b9bb1f6f2a2022-06-08T06:25:47ZTwo blades of grass: the impact of the green revolutionJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:af4be391-8c20-4517-b2f5-47b9bb1f6f2aEnglishSymplectic ElementsUniversity of Chicago Press2021Gollin, DWorm Hansen, CWingender, AWe estimate the impact of the Green Revolution in the developing world by exploiting exogenous heterogeneity in the timing and extent of the benefits derived from high-yielding crop varieties (HYVs). We find that HYVs increased yields by 44% between 1965 and 2010, with further gains coming through reallocation of inputs. Higher yields increased income and reduced population growth. A 10-year delay of the Green Revolution would in 2010 have cost 17% of GDP (gross domestic product) per capita and added 223 million people to the developing-world population. The cumulative GDP loss over 45 years would have been US$83 trillion, corresponding to approximately one year of current global GDP.
spellingShingle Gollin, D
Worm Hansen, C
Wingender, A
Two blades of grass: the impact of the green revolution
title Two blades of grass: the impact of the green revolution
title_full Two blades of grass: the impact of the green revolution
title_fullStr Two blades of grass: the impact of the green revolution
title_full_unstemmed Two blades of grass: the impact of the green revolution
title_short Two blades of grass: the impact of the green revolution
title_sort two blades of grass the impact of the green revolution
work_keys_str_mv AT gollind twobladesofgrasstheimpactofthegreenrevolution
AT wormhansenc twobladesofgrasstheimpactofthegreenrevolution
AT wingendera twobladesofgrasstheimpactofthegreenrevolution