The value of robust statistical forecasts in the COVID-19 pandemic

The Covid-19 pandemic has put forecasting under the spotlight, pitting epidemiological models against extrapolative time series devices. We have been producing real-time short term forecasts of confirmed cases and deaths using robust statistical models since 20 March 2020. The forecasts are adaptive...

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Autors principals: Castle, JL, Doornik, J, Hendry, D
Format: Journal article
Idioma:English
Publicat: Cambridge University Press 2021