Ensemble superparameterization versus stochastic parameterization: A comparison of model uncertainty representation in tropical weather prediction

Stochastic schemes to represent model uncertainty in the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble prediction system has helped improve its probabilistic forecast skill over the past decade by both improving its reliability and reducing the ensemble mean error. The largest...

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Autors principals: Subramanian, A, Palmer, T
Format: Journal article
Idioma:English
Publicat: American Geophysical Union 2017