Transparency, Credibility and Predictability of Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting in South Africa.

The adoption of inflation targeting in 2000 aimed to enhance the transparency and effectiveness of monetary policy in South Africa. Quantitative indexes reveal a strong rise in the transparency of monetary policy between 1994 and 2007. Inflation and interest rate expectations data, forward interest...

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Main Authors: Aron, J, Muellbauer, J
Format: Conference item
Language:English
Published: 2007
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author Aron, J
Muellbauer, J
author_facet Aron, J
Muellbauer, J
author_sort Aron, J
collection OXFORD
description The adoption of inflation targeting in 2000 aimed to enhance the transparency and effectiveness of monetary policy in South Africa. Quantitative indexes reveal a strong rise in the transparency of monetary policy between 1994 and 2007. Inflation and interest rate expectations data, forward interest rate data and estimates of an interest rate policy rule, are used to explore the credibility and predictability of monetary policy since adopting inflation targeting. The evidence points to the new monetary policy framework being well-entrenched in financial markets’ expectations as early as 2001. Only small declines in interest rate forecast errors arise thereafter.
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spelling oxford-uuid:b25646f1-8306-49fe-888a-487c8f8a5e622022-03-27T04:10:58ZTransparency, Credibility and Predictability of Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting in South Africa.Conference itemhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_5794uuid:b25646f1-8306-49fe-888a-487c8f8a5e62EnglishDepartment of Economics - ePrints2007Aron, JMuellbauer, JThe adoption of inflation targeting in 2000 aimed to enhance the transparency and effectiveness of monetary policy in South Africa. Quantitative indexes reveal a strong rise in the transparency of monetary policy between 1994 and 2007. Inflation and interest rate expectations data, forward interest rate data and estimates of an interest rate policy rule, are used to explore the credibility and predictability of monetary policy since adopting inflation targeting. The evidence points to the new monetary policy framework being well-entrenched in financial markets’ expectations as early as 2001. Only small declines in interest rate forecast errors arise thereafter.
spellingShingle Aron, J
Muellbauer, J
Transparency, Credibility and Predictability of Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting in South Africa.
title Transparency, Credibility and Predictability of Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting in South Africa.
title_full Transparency, Credibility and Predictability of Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting in South Africa.
title_fullStr Transparency, Credibility and Predictability of Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting in South Africa.
title_full_unstemmed Transparency, Credibility and Predictability of Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting in South Africa.
title_short Transparency, Credibility and Predictability of Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting in South Africa.
title_sort transparency credibility and predictability of monetary policy under inflation targeting in south africa
work_keys_str_mv AT aronj transparencycredibilityandpredictabilityofmonetarypolicyunderinflationtargetinginsouthafrica
AT muellbauerj transparencycredibilityandpredictabilityofmonetarypolicyunderinflationtargetinginsouthafrica