Voter turnout in Sub-Saharan Africa

<p>This thesis addresses the question of who votes in Africa and why. It uses three sets of quantitative data at three different levels to test its claims: an original compilation of national level institutional and socioeconomic indicators for over 700 elections from independence until 2006 c...

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Main Author: Dray, JD
Other Authors: Tilley, J
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: 2010
Subjects:
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author Dray, JD
author2 Tilley, J
author_facet Tilley, J
Dray, JD
author_sort Dray, JD
collection OXFORD
description <p>This thesis addresses the question of who votes in Africa and why. It uses three sets of quantitative data at three different levels to test its claims: an original compilation of national level institutional and socioeconomic indicators for over 700 elections from independence until 2006 compiled by the author; the Afrobarometer survey of almost 50 000 voters in 17 multiparty African regimes; and the first ever purpose-built survey aimed at testing rational choice turnout models in an African case study, which was designed, administered and analysed by the author in 2005 in Durban, South Africa. It uses a mixture of statistical methods to test comprehensively the determinants of voting in pooled and multilevel, logistic and linear, individual and national level models.</p> <p>It finds that the central claims of the rational choice model do not generally apply in African elections. Both the closeness of the election and the costs of participation are not found to be central to the voting calculus of African voters. Instead those citizens who face the highest barriers to participation in the West: the rural, poor and minimally educated, are the citizens who vote most in Africa. The thesis argues that this is because turnout in Africa is mobilised turnout and these are the groups of people targeted by mobilising agents. It further finds that three central institutions of African politics; ethnicity, clientelism and regime type further structure patterns of mobilisation in ways that have been entirely neglected in studies of turnout until now. Finally, it confirms that voting is habitual and that voters are socialised by formative experiences in their youth, especially the nature of the regime that they grow up in and how democratic they think the country is.</p>
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spelling oxford-uuid:b4889265-1bae-45cc-b12a-4fa92d4418002022-03-27T04:26:51ZVoter turnout in Sub-Saharan AfricaThesishttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_db06uuid:b4889265-1bae-45cc-b12a-4fa92d441800Governance in AfricaRational choice and signalling theoryDemocratic governmentPolitical scienceElectionsEnglishOxford University Research Archive - Valet2010Dray, JDTilley, JWiliams, G<p>This thesis addresses the question of who votes in Africa and why. It uses three sets of quantitative data at three different levels to test its claims: an original compilation of national level institutional and socioeconomic indicators for over 700 elections from independence until 2006 compiled by the author; the Afrobarometer survey of almost 50 000 voters in 17 multiparty African regimes; and the first ever purpose-built survey aimed at testing rational choice turnout models in an African case study, which was designed, administered and analysed by the author in 2005 in Durban, South Africa. It uses a mixture of statistical methods to test comprehensively the determinants of voting in pooled and multilevel, logistic and linear, individual and national level models.</p> <p>It finds that the central claims of the rational choice model do not generally apply in African elections. Both the closeness of the election and the costs of participation are not found to be central to the voting calculus of African voters. Instead those citizens who face the highest barriers to participation in the West: the rural, poor and minimally educated, are the citizens who vote most in Africa. The thesis argues that this is because turnout in Africa is mobilised turnout and these are the groups of people targeted by mobilising agents. It further finds that three central institutions of African politics; ethnicity, clientelism and regime type further structure patterns of mobilisation in ways that have been entirely neglected in studies of turnout until now. Finally, it confirms that voting is habitual and that voters are socialised by formative experiences in their youth, especially the nature of the regime that they grow up in and how democratic they think the country is.</p>
spellingShingle Governance in Africa
Rational choice and signalling theory
Democratic government
Political science
Elections
Dray, JD
Voter turnout in Sub-Saharan Africa
title Voter turnout in Sub-Saharan Africa
title_full Voter turnout in Sub-Saharan Africa
title_fullStr Voter turnout in Sub-Saharan Africa
title_full_unstemmed Voter turnout in Sub-Saharan Africa
title_short Voter turnout in Sub-Saharan Africa
title_sort voter turnout in sub saharan africa
topic Governance in Africa
Rational choice and signalling theory
Democratic government
Political science
Elections
work_keys_str_mv AT drayjd voterturnoutinsubsaharanafrica