SigGPDE: scaling sparse Gaussian Processes on sequential data

Making predictions and quantifying their uncertainty when the input data is sequential is a fundamental learning challenge, recently attracting increasing attention. We develop SigGPDE, a new scalable sparse variational inference framework for Gaussian Processes (GPs) on sequential data. Our contrib...

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Main Authors: Lemercier, M, Salvi, C, Cass, T, Bonilla, EV, Damonlas, T, Lyons, T
Format: Conference item
Language:English
Published: Journal of Machine Learning Research 2021
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author Lemercier, M
Salvi, C
Cass, T
Bonilla, EV
Damonlas, T
Lyons, T
author_facet Lemercier, M
Salvi, C
Cass, T
Bonilla, EV
Damonlas, T
Lyons, T
author_sort Lemercier, M
collection OXFORD
description Making predictions and quantifying their uncertainty when the input data is sequential is a fundamental learning challenge, recently attracting increasing attention. We develop SigGPDE, a new scalable sparse variational inference framework for Gaussian Processes (GPs) on sequential data. Our contribution is twofold. First, we construct inducing variables underpinning the sparse approximation so that the resulting evidence lower bound (ELBO) does not require any matrix inversion. Second, we show that the gradients of the GP signature kernel are solutions of a hyperbolic partial differential equation (PDE). This theoretical insight allows us to build an efficient back-propagation algorithm to optimize the ELBO. We showcase the significant computational gains of SigGPDE compared to existing methods, while achieving state-of-the-art performance for classification tasks on large datasets of up to 1 million multivariate time series.
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spelling oxford-uuid:b5454fac-07d1-4482-b155-fd502d5271e72024-03-21T16:08:43ZSigGPDE: scaling sparse Gaussian Processes on sequential dataConference itemhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_5794uuid:b5454fac-07d1-4482-b155-fd502d5271e7EnglishSymplectic ElementsJournal of Machine Learning Research2021Lemercier, MSalvi, CCass, TBonilla, EVDamonlas, TLyons, TMaking predictions and quantifying their uncertainty when the input data is sequential is a fundamental learning challenge, recently attracting increasing attention. We develop SigGPDE, a new scalable sparse variational inference framework for Gaussian Processes (GPs) on sequential data. Our contribution is twofold. First, we construct inducing variables underpinning the sparse approximation so that the resulting evidence lower bound (ELBO) does not require any matrix inversion. Second, we show that the gradients of the GP signature kernel are solutions of a hyperbolic partial differential equation (PDE). This theoretical insight allows us to build an efficient back-propagation algorithm to optimize the ELBO. We showcase the significant computational gains of SigGPDE compared to existing methods, while achieving state-of-the-art performance for classification tasks on large datasets of up to 1 million multivariate time series.
spellingShingle Lemercier, M
Salvi, C
Cass, T
Bonilla, EV
Damonlas, T
Lyons, T
SigGPDE: scaling sparse Gaussian Processes on sequential data
title SigGPDE: scaling sparse Gaussian Processes on sequential data
title_full SigGPDE: scaling sparse Gaussian Processes on sequential data
title_fullStr SigGPDE: scaling sparse Gaussian Processes on sequential data
title_full_unstemmed SigGPDE: scaling sparse Gaussian Processes on sequential data
title_short SigGPDE: scaling sparse Gaussian Processes on sequential data
title_sort siggpde scaling sparse gaussian processes on sequential data
work_keys_str_mv AT lemercierm siggpdescalingsparsegaussianprocessesonsequentialdata
AT salvic siggpdescalingsparsegaussianprocessesonsequentialdata
AT casst siggpdescalingsparsegaussianprocessesonsequentialdata
AT bonillaev siggpdescalingsparsegaussianprocessesonsequentialdata
AT damonlast siggpdescalingsparsegaussianprocessesonsequentialdata
AT lyonst siggpdescalingsparsegaussianprocessesonsequentialdata