The climateprediction.net BBC climate change experiment: design of the coupled model ensemble

Perturbed physics experiments are among the most comprehensive ways to address uncertainty in climate change forecasts. In these experiments, parameters and parametrizations in atmosphere-ocean general circulation models are perturbed across ranges of uncertainty, and results are compared with obser...

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Dades bibliogràfiques
Autors principals: Frame, D, Aina, T, Christensen, C, Faull, N, Knight, S, Piani, C, Rosier, S, Yamazaki, K, Yamazaki, Y, Allen, M
Altres autors: James Martin 21st Century School
Format: Journal article
Idioma:English
Publicat: Royal Society 2009
Matèries:
Descripció
Sumari:Perturbed physics experiments are among the most comprehensive ways to address uncertainty in climate change forecasts. In these experiments, parameters and parametrizations in atmosphere-ocean general circulation models are perturbed across ranges of uncertainty, and results are compared with observations. In this paper, we describe the largest perturbed physics climate experiment conducted to date, the British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) climate change experiment, in which the physics of the atmosphere and ocean are changed, and run in conjunction with a forcing ensemble designed to represent uncertainty in past and future forcings, under the A1B Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) climate change scenario.