The climateprediction.net BBC climate change experiment: design of the coupled model ensemble

Perturbed physics experiments are among the most comprehensive ways to address uncertainty in climate change forecasts. In these experiments, parameters and parametrizations in atmosphere-ocean general circulation models are perturbed across ranges of uncertainty, and results are compared with obser...

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書誌詳細
主要な著者: Frame, D, Aina, T, Christensen, C, Faull, N, Knight, S, Piani, C, Rosier, S, Yamazaki, K, Yamazaki, Y, Allen, M
その他の著者: James Martin 21st Century School
フォーマット: Journal article
言語:English
出版事項: Royal Society 2009
主題:
その他の書誌記述
要約:Perturbed physics experiments are among the most comprehensive ways to address uncertainty in climate change forecasts. In these experiments, parameters and parametrizations in atmosphere-ocean general circulation models are perturbed across ranges of uncertainty, and results are compared with observations. In this paper, we describe the largest perturbed physics climate experiment conducted to date, the British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) climate change experiment, in which the physics of the atmosphere and ocean are changed, and run in conjunction with a forcing ensemble designed to represent uncertainty in past and future forcings, under the A1B Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) climate change scenario.