Multi-sector inflation forecasting – quarterly models for South Africa.

Multi-sector inflation forecasting – quarterly models for South Africa.

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Inflation is a far from homogeneous phenomenon, a fact often neglected in modeling consumer price inflation. Using a novel methodology grounded in theory, the ten sub-components of the consumer price index (excluding mortgage interest rates), are modeled separately and forecast, four-quarters-ahead....

Полное описание

Библиографические подробности
Главные авторы:	Aron, J, Muellbauer, J
Формат:	Working paper
Язык:	English
Опубликовано:	CSAE (University of Oxford) 2008

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