On the Bruun Rule suitability for modelling shoreline change
Modelling and understanding shoreline response to sea-level rise over decadal to centennial timescales is crucial for managing sandy coasts. Globally, the Bruun Rule is one of the most common shoreline model applied to facilitate this. However, there are several limitations to the Bruun Rule, which...
Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | Journal article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Elsevier
2024
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_version_ | 1826313926489407488 |
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author | Seenath, A Jonathan, D |
author_facet | Seenath, A Jonathan, D |
author_sort | Seenath, A |
collection | OXFORD |
description | Modelling and understanding shoreline response to sea-level rise over decadal to
centennial timescales is crucial for managing sandy coasts. Globally, the Bruun Rule is
one of the most common shoreline model applied to facilitate this. However, there are
several limitations to the Bruun Rule, which can compromise coastal management
decisions. Here, we provide a novel assessment of the suitability of the Bruun Rule for
application in sandy coasts by applying it to hindcast and project shoreline change in
three morphologically different sandy beaches over yearly and decadal timescales. We
also compare the Bruun Rule predictions against associated observations, published
predictions from a hybrid shoreline model, and historical shoreline changes. Results show
that the Bruun Rule fails to accurately hindcast and provide realistic projections of future
shoreline change in sandy coasts. We attribute this to its assumption of linearity between
shoreline retreat and relative sea-level rise and its inability to account for nearshore
circulation. We, therefore, recommend limiting the use of the Bruun Rule for informing
policy and the management of sandy coasts. |
first_indexed | 2024-09-25T04:22:37Z |
format | Journal article |
id | oxford-uuid:c073b3d7-5a87-4334-915f-5ec2fdb67a75 |
institution | University of Oxford |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-09-25T04:22:37Z |
publishDate | 2024 |
publisher | Elsevier |
record_format | dspace |
spelling | oxford-uuid:c073b3d7-5a87-4334-915f-5ec2fdb67a752024-08-19T13:07:20ZOn the Bruun Rule suitability for modelling shoreline changeJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:c073b3d7-5a87-4334-915f-5ec2fdb67a75EnglishSymplectic ElementsElsevier2024Seenath, AJonathan, DModelling and understanding shoreline response to sea-level rise over decadal to centennial timescales is crucial for managing sandy coasts. Globally, the Bruun Rule is one of the most common shoreline model applied to facilitate this. However, there are several limitations to the Bruun Rule, which can compromise coastal management decisions. Here, we provide a novel assessment of the suitability of the Bruun Rule for application in sandy coasts by applying it to hindcast and project shoreline change in three morphologically different sandy beaches over yearly and decadal timescales. We also compare the Bruun Rule predictions against associated observations, published predictions from a hybrid shoreline model, and historical shoreline changes. Results show that the Bruun Rule fails to accurately hindcast and provide realistic projections of future shoreline change in sandy coasts. We attribute this to its assumption of linearity between shoreline retreat and relative sea-level rise and its inability to account for nearshore circulation. We, therefore, recommend limiting the use of the Bruun Rule for informing policy and the management of sandy coasts. |
spellingShingle | Seenath, A Jonathan, D On the Bruun Rule suitability for modelling shoreline change |
title | On the Bruun Rule suitability for modelling shoreline change |
title_full | On the Bruun Rule suitability for modelling shoreline change |
title_fullStr | On the Bruun Rule suitability for modelling shoreline change |
title_full_unstemmed | On the Bruun Rule suitability for modelling shoreline change |
title_short | On the Bruun Rule suitability for modelling shoreline change |
title_sort | on the bruun rule suitability for modelling shoreline change |
work_keys_str_mv | AT seenatha onthebruunrulesuitabilityformodellingshorelinechange AT jonathand onthebruunrulesuitabilityformodellingshorelinechange |