On the Bruun Rule suitability for modelling shoreline change

Modelling and understanding shoreline response to sea-level rise over decadal to centennial timescales is crucial for managing sandy coasts. Globally, the Bruun Rule is one of the most common shoreline model applied to facilitate this. However, there are several limitations to the Bruun Rule, which...

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Main Authors: Seenath, A, Jonathan, D
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2024
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author Seenath, A
Jonathan, D
author_facet Seenath, A
Jonathan, D
author_sort Seenath, A
collection OXFORD
description Modelling and understanding shoreline response to sea-level rise over decadal to centennial timescales is crucial for managing sandy coasts. Globally, the Bruun Rule is one of the most common shoreline model applied to facilitate this. However, there are several limitations to the Bruun Rule, which can compromise coastal management decisions. Here, we provide a novel assessment of the suitability of the Bruun Rule for application in sandy coasts by applying it to hindcast and project shoreline change in three morphologically different sandy beaches over yearly and decadal timescales. We also compare the Bruun Rule predictions against associated observations, published predictions from a hybrid shoreline model, and historical shoreline changes. Results show that the Bruun Rule fails to accurately hindcast and provide realistic projections of future shoreline change in sandy coasts. We attribute this to its assumption of linearity between shoreline retreat and relative sea-level rise and its inability to account for nearshore circulation. We, therefore, recommend limiting the use of the Bruun Rule for informing policy and the management of sandy coasts.
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spelling oxford-uuid:c073b3d7-5a87-4334-915f-5ec2fdb67a752024-08-19T13:07:20ZOn the Bruun Rule suitability for modelling shoreline changeJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:c073b3d7-5a87-4334-915f-5ec2fdb67a75EnglishSymplectic ElementsElsevier2024Seenath, AJonathan, DModelling and understanding shoreline response to sea-level rise over decadal to centennial timescales is crucial for managing sandy coasts. Globally, the Bruun Rule is one of the most common shoreline model applied to facilitate this. However, there are several limitations to the Bruun Rule, which can compromise coastal management decisions. Here, we provide a novel assessment of the suitability of the Bruun Rule for application in sandy coasts by applying it to hindcast and project shoreline change in three morphologically different sandy beaches over yearly and decadal timescales. We also compare the Bruun Rule predictions against associated observations, published predictions from a hybrid shoreline model, and historical shoreline changes. Results show that the Bruun Rule fails to accurately hindcast and provide realistic projections of future shoreline change in sandy coasts. We attribute this to its assumption of linearity between shoreline retreat and relative sea-level rise and its inability to account for nearshore circulation. We, therefore, recommend limiting the use of the Bruun Rule for informing policy and the management of sandy coasts.
spellingShingle Seenath, A
Jonathan, D
On the Bruun Rule suitability for modelling shoreline change
title On the Bruun Rule suitability for modelling shoreline change
title_full On the Bruun Rule suitability for modelling shoreline change
title_fullStr On the Bruun Rule suitability for modelling shoreline change
title_full_unstemmed On the Bruun Rule suitability for modelling shoreline change
title_short On the Bruun Rule suitability for modelling shoreline change
title_sort on the bruun rule suitability for modelling shoreline change
work_keys_str_mv AT seenatha onthebruunrulesuitabilityformodellingshorelinechange
AT jonathand onthebruunrulesuitabilityformodellingshorelinechange