Does Aid Mitigate External Shocks?

The authors investigate the role of aid in mitigating the adverse effects of commodity export price shocks on growth in commodity-dependent countries. Using a large cross-country dataset, they find that negative shocks matter for short-term growth, while the ex ante risk of shocks does not seem to m...

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Main Authors: Collier, P, Goderis, B
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Blackwell Publishing 2009
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author Collier, P
Goderis, B
author_facet Collier, P
Goderis, B
author_sort Collier, P
collection OXFORD
description The authors investigate the role of aid in mitigating the adverse effects of commodity export price shocks on growth in commodity-dependent countries. Using a large cross-country dataset, they find that negative shocks matter for short-term growth, while the ex ante risk of shocks does not seem to matter. They also find that both the level of aid and the flexibility of the exchange rate substantially lower the adverse growth effect of shocks. While the mitigating effect of aid is significant in both countries with pegs and countries with floats, the effect seems to be smaller for the latter, suggesting that aid and exchange rate flexibility are partly substitutes. They investigate whether aid has historically been targeted at shock-prone countries, but find no evidence that this is the case. This suggests that donors could increase aid effectiveness by redirecting aid toward countries with a high incidence of commodity export price shocks.
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spelling oxford-uuid:c1524210-1583-4cac-88b1-c37b50e851882022-03-27T06:00:41ZDoes Aid Mitigate External Shocks?Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:c1524210-1583-4cac-88b1-c37b50e85188EnglishDepartment of Economics - ePrintsBlackwell Publishing2009Collier, PGoderis, BThe authors investigate the role of aid in mitigating the adverse effects of commodity export price shocks on growth in commodity-dependent countries. Using a large cross-country dataset, they find that negative shocks matter for short-term growth, while the ex ante risk of shocks does not seem to matter. They also find that both the level of aid and the flexibility of the exchange rate substantially lower the adverse growth effect of shocks. While the mitigating effect of aid is significant in both countries with pegs and countries with floats, the effect seems to be smaller for the latter, suggesting that aid and exchange rate flexibility are partly substitutes. They investigate whether aid has historically been targeted at shock-prone countries, but find no evidence that this is the case. This suggests that donors could increase aid effectiveness by redirecting aid toward countries with a high incidence of commodity export price shocks.
spellingShingle Collier, P
Goderis, B
Does Aid Mitigate External Shocks?
title Does Aid Mitigate External Shocks?
title_full Does Aid Mitigate External Shocks?
title_fullStr Does Aid Mitigate External Shocks?
title_full_unstemmed Does Aid Mitigate External Shocks?
title_short Does Aid Mitigate External Shocks?
title_sort does aid mitigate external shocks
work_keys_str_mv AT collierp doesaidmitigateexternalshocks
AT goderisb doesaidmitigateexternalshocks